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La Liga
Referee: Mateo Busquets
Alaves
U T S U T
0–0
Full-time
Betis
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,21 xG 1,49
37% Possession 63%
3 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 18. · Betis 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celta 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.4 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +2 +3.0 6
3 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +3 +1.3 4
4 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.5 4
5 Leganes 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.1 4
6 Vallecano 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.2 4
7 Osasuna 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.7 4
8 Sociedad 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.7 3
9 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 -2 -1.6 3
10 Getafe 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.7 2
11 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.3 1
12 Betis 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
13 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
14 Las Palmas 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.1 1
15 Sevilla 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.6 1
16 Ath Bilbao 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.3 1
17 Mallorca 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.5 1
18 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.8 0
19 Espanol 2 0 0 2 -2 +0.5 0
20 Valencia 2 0 0 2 -3 -2.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Betis
Aleksandar Sedlar 🟨
4′
27′
🟨 Juanmi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Perraud
↦ R. Rodríguez
L. Romero 🔁
↦ T. Conechny
61′
Carlos Martín 🔁
↦ Stoichkov
61′
63′
🔁 E. Ávila
↦ Aitor Ruibal
63′
🔁 A. Ezzalzouli
↦ Juanmi
64′
🟨 Romain Perraud
76′
🔁 Rodri
↦ Pablo Fornals
77′
🟨 Marc Roca
Jon Guridi 🔁
↦ Kike García
77′
C. Benavídez 🔁
↦ Ander Guevara
77′
Aleksandar Sedlar 🟥
86′
86′
🔁 Natan
↦ Marc Bartra
M. Diarra 🔁
↦ Carlos Vicente
88′
89′
🟨 Chimy Ávila
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Antonio Sivera G
14 N. Tenaglia D
5 A. Abqar D
4 A. Sedlar D
3 Manu Sánchez D
7 Carlos Vicente M
8 Antonio Blanco M
6 Ander Guevara M
10 T. Conechny M
19 Stoichkov F
17 Kike García F
Bench (11)
20 L. Romero
15 Carlos Martín
18 Jon Guridi
23 C. Benavídez
22 M. Diarra
9 Asier Villalibre
36 Adrián Pica
13 Jesús Owono
31 A. Rodríguez
16 Hugo Novoa
21 A. Rebbach

Coach: Luis García

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva G
23 Y. Sabaly D
5 Marc Bartra D
3 Diego Llorente D
12 R. Rodríguez D
14 William Carvalho M
21 Marc Roca M
18 Pablo Fornals M
8 N. Fekir M
7 Juanmi M
24 Aitor Ruibal F
Bench (12)
15 R. Perraud
9 E. Ávila
10 A. Ezzalzouli
17 Rodri
6 Natan
41 Manu González
13 Adrián
38 Assane Diao
19 Iker Losada
2 Héctor Bellerín
16 Sergi Altimira
4 J. Cardoso

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U ✓
3,12
B
3,21
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,39
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mateo Busquets · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.