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La Liga
Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos
Elche
T U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Sociedad
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
36%
55%
Both score Ø 69%
64%
73%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,80 xG 1,36
63% Possession 37%
12 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 9. · Sociedad 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 11 10 0 1 +16 +14.8 30
2 Barcelona 11 8 1 2 +15 +7.6 25
3 Villarreal 11 7 2 2 +12 +5.6 23
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 4 1 +11 +8.9 22
5 Betis 11 5 4 2 +6 +5.9 19
6 Espanol 11 5 3 3 +2 +7.3 18
7 Getafe 11 5 2 4 -1 -3.4 17
8 Alaves 11 4 3 4 +1 +1.4 15
9 Elche 11 3 5 3 -1 -2.0 14
10 Vallecano 11 4 2 5 -2 -0.3 14
11 Ath Bilbao 11 4 2 5 -2 +3.8 14
12 Celta 11 2 7 2 -1 +0.0 13
13 Sevilla 11 4 1 6 -2 -10.7 13
14 Sociedad 11 3 3 5 -3 +0.3 12
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 -3 -2.6 11
16 Levante 11 2 3 6 -5 -1.3 9
17 Mallorca 11 2 3 6 -7 -10.4 9
18 Valencia 11 2 3 6 -10 -6.0 9
19 Oviedo 11 2 2 7 -12 -10.6 8
20 Girona 11 1 4 6 -14 -8.5 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Sociedad
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Jon Aramburu
1–0 A. Rodriguez ⚽
A. Nunez
57′
64′
🔁 U. Sadiq
↦ G. Guedes
64′
🔁 A. Zakharyan
↦ T. Kubo
David Affengruber 🟨
73′
G. Valera 🔁
↦ A. Rodriguez
74′
H. Fort 🔁
↦ Josan
74′
75′
🔁 A. Munoz
↦ C. Soler
75′
🔁 P. Marin
↦ B. Mendez
79′
🟨 Arsen Zakharyan
81′
🔁 L. Sucic
↦ S. Gomez
J. Donald 🔁
↦ M. Aguado
84′
L. Petrot 🔁
↦ V. Chust
84′
89′
⚽ M. Oyarzabal 1–1
F. Redondo Solari 🔁
↦ R. Mendoza
90′
93′
🔁 A. Elustondo
↦ J. Aramburu
Andre Silva 🔁
↦ R. Mir
94′
95′
🟨 Jon Gorrotxategi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Elche

4-1-4-1
1 M. Dituro G
15 A. Nunez D
22 D. Affengruber D
23 V. Chust D
3 A. Pedrosa D
8 M. Aguado M
17 Josan M
14 A. Febas M
30 R. Mendoza M
10 R. Mir M
20 A. Rodriguez F
Bench (12)
13 I. Pena
4 B. Diaby
5 F. Redondo Solari
7 Y. Santiago
9 Andre Silva
11 G. Valera
16 M. Neto
18 J. Donald
19 G. Diangana
21 L. Petrot
32 A. Boayar
39 H. Fort

Coach: Eder Sarabia Armesto

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 A. Remiro G
2 J. Aramburu D
31 J. Martin D
5 I. Zubeldia D
17 S. Gomez D
4 J. Gorrotxategi M
14 T. Kubo M
23 B. Mendez M
18 C. Soler M
11 G. Guedes M
10 M. Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
13 U. Marrero
3 A. Munoz
6 A. Elustondo
8 B. Turrientes
15 U. Sadiq
16 D. Caleta-Car
20 A. Odriozola
21 A. Zakharyan
22 M. Goti Lopez
24 L. Sucic
28 P. Marin
40 A. Marchal

Coach: Sergio Francisco Ramos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U ✓
3,13
B
2,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.