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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias

Alaves

U S T U T

3–1

Full-time

Elche

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

29%

43%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

29%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

1,9

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,42 xG 0,38

47% Possession 53%

25 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

12 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

14 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Alaves 13. · Elche 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	7	0	1	+10	+8.2	21
2	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+16	+9.5	19
3	Villarreal	8	5	1	2	+6	+2.8	16
4	Elche	7	3	4	0	+4	+1.5	13
5	Ath Bilbao	8	4	1	3	+0	+5.8	13
6	Ath Madrid	7	3	3	1	+5	+6.5	12
7	Betis	7	3	3	1	+4	+4.1	12
8	Espanol	7	3	3	1	+1	+2.6	12
9	Getafe	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
10	Sevilla	7	3	1	3	+1	-6.2	10
11	Osasuna	8	3	1	4	-1	-1.3	10
12	Levante	8	2	2	4	-1	-0.3	8
13	Alaves	7	2	2	3	-1	-0.7	8
14	Valencia	8	2	2	4	-4	-2.1	8
15	Oviedo	8	2	0	6	-10	-7.5	6
16	Girona	8	1	3	4	-12	-9.2	6
17	Vallecano	7	1	2	4	-3	+0.7	5
18	Celta	7	0	5	2	-3	-1.4	5
19	Sociedad	7	1	2	4	-4	-2.3	5
20	Mallorca	8	1	2	5	-6	-8.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	4	4	0	0	+9	+4.2	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.1	12
3	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+6	+4.8	10
4	Osasuna	4	3	1	0	+4	+0.6	10
5	Elche	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.1	10
6	Espanol	4	3	1	0	+3	+2.1	10
7	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+2	+6.5	10
8	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	+6.8	9
9	Betis	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.0	9
10	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+4	+3.8	7
11	Getafe	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.7	5
12	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	-2	-3.7	5
13	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.1	4
14	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.7	4
15	Girona	5	1	1	3	-7	-4.5	4
16	Celta	4	0	3	1	-2	+1.6	3
17	Oviedo	4	1	0	3	-6	-4.5	3
18	Vallecano	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.6	2
19	Sevilla	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.7	1
20	Levante	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+6	+2.7	10
2	Real Madrid	4	3	0	1	+4	+3.0	9
3	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+3	-4.5	9
4	Levante	5	2	1	2	+3	+3.2	7
5	Getafe	5	2	0	3	-4	-0.9	6
6	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.4	4
7	Villarreal	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
8	Betis	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.1	3
9	Elche	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.7	3
10	Vallecano	4	1	0	3	-2	-0.9	3
11	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.7	3
12	Oviedo	4	1	0	3	-4	-3.0	3
13	Celta	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.0	2
14	Ath Madrid	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.7	2
15	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-2	+0.5	2
16	Girona	3	0	2	1	-5	-4.7	2
17	Sociedad	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.4	1
18	Valencia	4	0	1	3	-8	-6.0	1
19	Mallorca	4	0	0	4	-4	-5.1	0
20	Osasuna	4	0	0	4	-5	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.