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Serie A

Referee: P Giacomelli

Genoa

U T U U U

2–1

Full-time

Fiorentina

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

6,0

7,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

3,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

18 Shots 15

10 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 12. · Fiorentina 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Spal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.