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Serie A
Referee: G Calvarese
Roma
S U S U S
3–3
Full-time
Genoa
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 1
0 Offside 6
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. May -19 Genoa – Roma 1–1 16. Dec -18 Roma – Genoa 3–2 18. Apr -18 Roma – Genoa 2–1 26. Nov -17 Genoa – Roma 1–1 28. May -17 Roma – Genoa 3–2

Match report

Roma Genoa
1–0 Cengiz Ünder ⚽
Edin Džeko
6′
16′
⚽ Andrea Pinamonti 1–1
Cristian Romero
2–1 Edin Džeko ⚽
Bryan Cristante
30′
Alessandro Florenzi 🟨
38′
Juan Jesus 🟨
42′
43′
⚽ Domenico Criscito 2–2
Half-time 3–2
3–2 Aleksandar Kolarov ⚽
49′
56′
🟨 Cristian Romero
Gianluca Mancini 🔁
↦ Juan Jesus
66′
70′
⚽ Christian Kouamé 3–3
Paolo Ghiglione
Lorenzo Pellegrini 🟨
74′
Javier Pastore 🔁
↦ Justin Kluivert
74′
74′
🔁 Jawad El Yamiq
↦ Antonio Barreca
Davide Zappacosta 🔁
↦ Alessandro Florenzi
78′
86′
🔁 Goran Pandev
↦ Andrea Pinamonti
90′
🔁 Antonio Sanabria
↦ Christian Kouamé
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Roma

4-2-3-1
13 Pau López G
24 Alessandro Florenzi D
20 Federico Fazio D
5 Juan Jesus D
11 Aleksandar Kolarov D
4 Bryan Cristante M
7 Lorenzo Pellegrini M
17 Cengiz Ünder M
22 Nicolò Zaniolo M
99 Justin Kluivert M
9 Edin Džeko F
Bench (10)
83 Antonio Mirante
63 Daniel Fuzato
2 Davide Zappacosta
18 Davide Santon
23 Gianluca Mancini
27 Javier Pastore
42 Amadou Diawara
48 Mirko Antonucci
21 Jordan Veretout
14 Patrik Schick

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Genoa

3-1-4-2
97 Andrei Radu G
17 Cristian Romero D
2 Cristián Zapata D
4 Domenico Criscito D
21 Ivan Radovanović M
18 Paolo Ghiglione M
20 Lasse Schöne M
8 Lukas Lerager M
3 Antonio Barreca M
99 Andrea Pinamonti F
11 Christian Kouamé F
Bench (10)
22 Federico Marchetti
93 Jandrei
13 Jawad El Yamiq
14 Davide Biraschi
5 Rômulo
15 Filip Jagiełło
65 Nicolò Rovella
19 Goran Pandev
30 Andrea Favilli
9 Antonio Sanabria

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,49
🔒
U ✓
4,21
🔒
B
7,13
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,75
🔒
U2,5
2,08
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Calvarese · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.