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Serie A
Referee: P Valeri
Udinese
T T S U S
1–3
Full-time
Sampdoria
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
42%
61%
Both score Ø 49%
39%
58%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 7
16 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 14. · Sampdoria 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 24 4 4 +35 76
2 Lazio 32 21 5 6 +33 68
3 Atalanta 32 20 7 5 +46 67
4 Inter 31 19 8 4 +32 65
5 Roma 32 16 6 10 +16 54
6 Napoli 31 15 6 10 +9 51
7 Milan 31 14 7 10 +4 49
8 Sassuolo 32 13 7 12 +5 46
9 Verona 31 11 10 10 +1 43
10 Bologna 31 11 8 12 -5 41
11 Cagliari 31 10 10 11 +2 40
12 Parma 31 11 6 14 +0 39
13 Fiorentina 31 8 11 12 -6 35
14 Udinese 31 9 8 14 -13 35
15 Torino 31 10 4 17 -20 34
16 Sampdoria 31 9 5 17 -17 32
17 Genoa 32 7 9 16 -20 30
18 Lecce 31 7 7 17 -31 28
19 Brescia 32 5 6 21 -36 21
20 Spal 32 5 4 23 -35 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Sampdoria
25′
🟨 A. Ekdal
1–0 K. Lasagna ⚽
37′
38′
🟨 E. Audero
45′
🔁 G. Ramirez
↦ F. Bonazzoli
Half-time 1–1
46′
⚽ F. Quagliarella 1–1
A. Ekdal
I. Nestorovski 🔁
↦ S. Okaka
53′
Walace 🔁
↦ S. Fofana
53′
J. Stryger Larsen 🔁
↦ H. ter Avest
68′
69′
🟨 M. Thorsby
H. ter Avest 🟨
73′
78′
🔁 F. Quagliarella
↦ M. Gabbiadini
84′
⚽ F. Bonazzoli 1–2
86′
🟨 T. Augello
M. Jajalo 🔁
↦ L. Teodorczyk
86′
93′
⚽ M. Gabbiadini 1–3
M. Yoshida
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 Juan Musso G
5 William Troost-Ekong D
17 Bram Nuytinck D
3 Samir D
19 Jens Stryger Larsen M
10 Rodrigo De Paul M
8 Mato Jajalo M
11 Walace M
12 Ken Sema M
30 Ilija Nestorovski F
15 Kevin Lasagna F
Bench (12)
27 Samuele Perisan
88 Nicolas
50 Rodrigo Becão
77 Marvin Zeegelaar
63 Francesco Mazzolo
87 Sebastien De Maio
18 Hidde ter Avest
6 Seko Fofana
61 Marco Ballarini
7 Stefano Okaka
64 Martin Palumbo
91 Łukasz Teodorczyk

Coach: L. Gotti

Sampdoria

4-4-1-1
1 Emil Audero G
24 Bartosz Bereszyński D
34 Maya Yoshida D
15 Omar Colley D
3 Tommaso Augello D
12 Fabio Depaoli M
6 Albin Ekdal M
18 Morten Thorsby M
7 Karol Linetty M
11 Gastón Ramírez F
27 Fabio Quagliarella F
Bench (12)
22 Andrea Seculin
29 Nicola Murru
5 Julian Chabot
14 Jakub Jankto
20 Gonzalo Maroni
16 Kristoffer Askildsen
26 Mehdi Léris
91 Andrea Bertolacci
23 Manolo Gabbiadini
32 Felice D'Amico
9 Federico Bonazzoli
17 Antonino La Gumina

Coach: C. Ranieri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,39
U
3,09
B ✓
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

P Valeri · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.