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Serie A

Referee: M Fabbri

Sampdoria

T T S S T

1–3

Full-time

Lazio

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 34%

27%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

80%

73%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,3

3,9

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

48% Possession 52%

18 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 0

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sampdoria 15. · Lazio 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	16	12	2	2	+17	38
2	Inter	16	11	4	1	+24	37
3	Napoli	16	11	3	2	+22	36
4	Atalanta	16	10	4	2	+16	34
5	Fiorentina	16	9	0	7	+5	27
6	Roma	16	8	1	7	+5	25
7	Juventus	15	7	3	5	+4	24
8	Bologna	16	7	3	6	-4	24
9	Verona	16	6	5	5	+4	23
10	Lazio	15	6	4	5	+0	22
11	Sassuolo	16	5	5	6	+1	20
12	Empoli	15	6	2	7	-5	20
13	Torino	15	5	3	7	+3	18
14	Udinese	15	3	7	5	-4	16
15	Sampdoria	15	4	3	8	-8	15
16	Venezia	16	4	3	9	-14	15
17	Spezia	16	3	3	10	-19	12
18	Genoa	15	1	7	7	-12	10
19	Cagliari	15	1	6	8	-13	9
20	Salernitana	16	2	2	12	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Milan	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Inter	7	5	2	0	+14	17
4	Lazio	8	5	2	1	+10	17
5	Verona	8	5	1	2	+7	16
6	Bologna	9	5	1	3	+4	16
7	Roma	8	5	1	2	+3	16
8	Fiorentina	7	5	0	2	+7	15
9	Torino	8	4	2	2	+7	14
10	Atalanta	8	3	3	2	+6	12
11	Juventus	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Udinese	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Sassuolo	8	2	3	3	+0	9
14	Spezia	8	2	2	4	-2	8
15	Sampdoria	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Venezia	7	2	1	4	-3	7
17	Empoli	8	2	1	5	-8	7
18	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-3	6
19	Salernitana	8	1	1	6	-11	4
20	Genoa	7	0	3	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	8	7	1	0	+10	22
2	Inter	9	6	2	1	+10	20
3	Milan	8	6	1	1	+8	19
4	Napoli	8	5	2	1	+10	17
5	Juventus	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Empoli	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Fiorentina	9	4	0	5	-2	12
8	Sassuolo	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Roma	8	3	0	5	+2	9
10	Bologna	7	2	2	3	-8	8
11	Venezia	9	2	2	5	-11	8
12	Verona	8	1	4	3	-3	7
13	Sampdoria	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Genoa	8	1	4	3	-5	7
15	Udinese	7	1	3	3	-3	6
16	Lazio	7	1	2	4	-10	5
17	Torino	7	1	1	5	-4	4
18	Salernitana	8	1	1	6	-11	4
19	Spezia	8	1	1	6	-17	4
20	Cagliari	7	0	3	4	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.