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Serie A
Referee: L Marinelli
Venezia
T T U S S
0–2
Full-time
Inter
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 47%
31%
62%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
46%
69%
Both score Ø 66%
54%
77%
Average goals
2,4
3,6
Scored
0,9
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 27
1 Shots on target 11
2 Blocked shots 9
9 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 9
9 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 15. · Inter 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 13 10 2 1 +19 32
2 Milan 13 10 2 1 +14 32
3 Inter 13 8 4 1 +17 28
4 Atalanta 14 8 4 2 +11 28
5 Roma 13 7 1 5 +8 22
6 Lazio 13 6 3 4 +4 21
7 Fiorentina 14 7 0 7 +2 21
8 Juventus 14 6 3 5 +2 21
9 Verona 14 5 4 5 +3 19
10 Empoli 14 6 1 7 -5 19
11 Bologna 13 5 3 5 -5 18
12 Torino 13 5 2 6 +4 17
13 Sassuolo 13 4 3 6 -1 15
14 Sampdoria 14 4 3 7 -6 15
15 Venezia 13 4 3 6 -7 15
16 Udinese 13 3 5 5 -4 14
17 Spezia 13 3 2 8 -16 11
18 Genoa 13 1 6 6 -9 9
19 Cagliari 14 1 5 8 -13 8
20 Salernitana 14 2 2 10 -18 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Inter
34′
H. Çalhanoğlu 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Mattia Aramu 🟨
54′
57′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
58′
🔁 Lautaro Martínez
↦ J. Correa
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ P. Mazzocchi
62′
T. Tessmann 🔁
↦ A. Vacca
71′
T. Henry 🔁
↦ M. Aramu
71′
71′
🔁 D. Dumfries
↦ M. Darmian
81′
🔁 R. Gagliardini
↦ N. Barella
82′
🔁 D. D'Ambrosio
↦ I. Perišić
D. Črnigoj 🔁
↦ E. Ampadu
84′
F. Forte 🔁
↦ D. Okereke
84′
95′
ℹ️ Lautaro Martínez
VAR: Penalty awarded
Ridgeciano Haps 🟨
96′
96′
Lautaro Martínez 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Venezia

4-3-2-1
88 S. Romero G
55 R. Haps D
31 M. Caldara D
7 P. Mazzocchi D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
5 A. Vacca M
44 E. Ampadu M
23 S. Kiyine M
27 G. Busio M
10 M. Aramu M
77 D. Okereke F
Bench (12)
17 D. Johnsen
8 T. Tessmann
14 T. Henry
33 D. Črnigoj
9 F. Forte
13 M. Modolo
3 C. Molinaro
42 D. Peretz
18 D. Heymans
12 L. Lezzerini
11 A. Sigurðsson
30 M. Svoboda

Coach: P. Zanetti

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
36 M. Darmian M
37 M. Škriniar D
32 F. Dimarco D
95 A. Bastoni D
14 I. Perišić M
77 M. Brozović M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
19 J. Correa F
23 N. Barella M
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (10)
8 M. Vecino
10 Lautaro Martínez
2 D. Dumfries
5 R. Gagliardini
33 D. D'Ambrosio
13 A. Ranocchia
21 A. Cordaz
12 S. Sensi
97 I. Radu
48 M. Satriano

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,18
U
4,84
B ✓
1,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.