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Serie A
Referee: D Chiffi
Spezia
T T S T S
1–0
Full-time
Empoli
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,7
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Apr -22 Empoli – Spezia 0–0 19. Dec -21 Spezia – Empoli 1–1 19. Jun -20 Spezia – Empoli 1–0 29. Oct -19 Empoli – Spezia 1–1

Match report

Spezia Empoli
Emmanuel Gyasi 🟨
4′
14′
🟨 Liam Henderson
1–0 M'Bala Nzola ⚽
S. Bastoni
36′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 N. Cambiaghi
↦ L. Henderson
Arkadiusz Reca 🟨
60′
A. Ekdal 🔁
↦ D. Verde
61′
72′
🔁 M. Satriano
↦ M. Destro
E. Holm 🔁
↦ A. Reca
76′
D. Strelec 🔁
↦ E. Gyasi
76′
88′
🔁 J. Fazzini
↦ F. Bandinelli
J. Sala 🔁
↦ M. Bourabia
91′
M. Ellertsson 🔁
↦ K. Agudelo
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Spezia

3-5-2
69 B. Drągowski G
29 M. Caldara D
14 J. Kiwior D
43 D. Nikolaou D
11 E. Gyasi M
33 K. Agudelo M
6 M. Bourabia M
20 S. Bastoni M
13 A. Reca M
10 D. Verde F
18 M'Bala Nzola F
Bench (13)
8 A. Ekdal
2 E. Holm
44 D. Strelec
7 J. Sala
28 M. Ellertsson
1 J. Zoet
30 D. Maldini
15 P. Hristov
23 E. Capradossi
77 N. Bertola
17 S. Podgoreanu
40 P. Zovko
19 E. Kornvig

Coach: L. Gotti

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
30 P. Stojanović D
34 A. Ismajli D
33 S. Luperto D
65 F. Parisi D
8 L. Henderson M
18 R. Marin M
25 F. Bandinelli M
10 N. Bajrami M
7 S. Lammers F
23 M. Destro F
Bench (14)
28 N. Cambiaghi
9 M. Satriano
21 J. Fazzini
36 G. Guarino
3 L. Cacace
31 G. Fantoni
35 T. Baldanzi
15 G. Crociata
5 L. Štulac
1 S. Perisan
17 E. Ekong
38 G. Indragoli
68 D. Merola
20 D. Degli Innocenti

Coach: P. Zanetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
🔒
U
3,33
🔒
B
2,91
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,90
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Chiffi · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.