Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Napoli
Lecce
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Roma
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 3 |
Milan
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 5 |
Napoli
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 |
Torino
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |
Udinese
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Juventus
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 5 |
| 10 |
Fiorentina
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0 | 5 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 |
Salernitana
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 13 |
Spezia
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 |
Empoli
|
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Verona
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 |
Sampdoria
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 |
Lecce
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 |
Cremonese
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 |
Monza
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Meret
G
G. Di Lorenzo
D
L. Østigård
D
Kim Min-Jae
D
M. Olivera
D
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
M. Politano
M
G. Raspadori
M
E. Elmas
M
V. Osimhen
F
Coach: L. Spalletti
W. Falcone
G
V. Gendrey
D
F. Baschirotto
D
G. Pezzella
D
M. Hjulmand
M
F. Di Francesco
M
Þ. Helgason
M
K. Askildsen
M
L. Colombo
F
Coach: M. Baroni
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Fiorentina
Napoli
Napoli
Monza
Verona
Napoli
Spezia
Napoli
Napoli
Genoa
M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.