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Serie A

Referee: A Colombo

Sassuolo

U S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Lecce

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

3,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 20. · Lecce 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Salernitana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.