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Serie A
Referee: D Chiffi
Udinese
T T S T S
1–2
Full-time
Juventus
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 44%
30%
58%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
42%
55%
Both score Ø 57%
52%
61%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
7 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 11. · Juventus 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 34 25 7 2 +45 82
2 Atalanta 34 20 9 5 +39 69
3 Milan 34 21 6 7 +21 69
4 Napoli 34 21 4 9 +36 67
5 Juventus 33 19 9 5 +35 66
6 Lazio 33 20 4 9 +11 64
7 Roma 33 16 7 10 +7 55
8 Sassuolo 34 14 11 9 +5 53
9 Verona 34 11 9 14 -1 42
10 Sampdoria 33 12 6 15 -4 42
11 Udinese 33 10 9 14 -6 39
12 Bologna 34 10 9 15 -9 39
13 Genoa 34 8 12 14 -12 36
14 Fiorentina 34 8 11 15 -12 35
15 Spezia 34 8 10 16 -20 34
16 Cagliari 34 8 8 18 -17 32
17 Torino 32 6 13 13 -10 31
18 Benevento 34 7 10 17 -31 31
19 Parma 33 3 11 19 -34 20
20 Crotone 34 5 3 26 -43 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Juventus
1–0 N. Molina
R. De Paul
10′
Tolgay Arslan 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
Roberto Pereyra 🟨
55′
59′
🔁 D. Kulusevski
↦ F. Bernardeschi
66′
🔁 Morata
↦ P. Dybala
F. Forestieri 🔁
↦ T. Arslan
72′
Rodrigo De Paul 🟨
82′
83′
Cristiano Ronaldo 1–1
Samir 🔁
↦ K. Bonifazi
84′
84′
🔁 Félix Correia
↦ J. Cuadrado
84′
🔁 A. Rabiot
↦ W. McKennie
89′
Cristiano Ronaldo 1–2
A. Rabiot
T. Ouwejan 🔁
↦ B. Nuytinck
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-1-1
96 S. Scuffet G
19 J. Stryger Larsen M
17 B. Nuytinck D
14 K. Bonifazi D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
16 N. Molina M
37 R. Pereyra F
22 T. Arslan M
10 R. De Paul M
11 Walace M
7 S. Okaka F
Bench (11)
45 F. Forestieri
3 Samir
5 T. Ouwejan
87 S. De Maio
31 M. Gasparini
29 P. Mićin
6 J. Makengo
67 E. Piana
32 Llorente
64 M. Palumbo
90 M. Zeegelaar

Coach: L. Gotti

Juventus

4-4-2
1 W. Szczęsny G
19 L. Bonucci D
13 Danilo D
12 Alex Sandro D
4 M. de Ligt D
16 J. Cuadrado M
30 R. Bentancur M
14 W. McKennie M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
10 P. Dybala F
33 F. Bernardeschi M
Bench (11)
44 D. Kulusevski
9 Morata
53 Félix Correia
25 A. Rabiot
3 G. Chiellini
77 G. Buffon
31 C. Pinsoglio
40 G. Vrioni
8 A. Ramsey
37 R. Drăgușin
5 Arthur

Coach: A. Pirlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,59
U
4,55
B ✓
1,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Chiffi · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.