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Coppa Italia

Referee: F Dionisi

Bologna

U S U S U

2–0

Full-time

Verona

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Verona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

10 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 22

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bologna 8. · Verona 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Catanzaro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Cesena	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-4	1
23	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Parma	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	FeralpiSalo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0
21	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.