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Süper Lig

Referee: B Pakkan

Sivasspor

T T U U T

5–2

Full-time

Kayserispor

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 19/18 matches

Win Ø 22%

26%

17%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

58%

56%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,7

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,84 xG 2,78

57% Possession 43%

19 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Sivasspor 15. · Kayserispor 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	19	16	3	0	+30	+20.0	51
2	Fenerbahce	19	14	3	2	+31	+24.8	45
3	Samsunspor	20	12	4	4	+15	+10.3	40
4	Goztep	19	10	4	5	+15	+11.0	34
5	Eyüpspor	19	9	6	4	+13	+1.2	33
6	Besiktas	19	8	7	4	+8	+7.7	31
7	Buyuksehyr	19	8	5	6	+6	+7.5	29
8	Gaziantep	20	7	5	8	-2	-5.1	26
9	Trabzonspor	19	6	7	6	+10	-0.6	25
10	Rizespor	19	7	3	9	-10	+5.4	24
11	Alanyaspor	19	5	7	7	-5	-1.2	22
12	Kasimpasa	19	4	10	5	-6	-4.1	22
13	Konyaspor	19	5	6	8	-7	-6.5	21
14	Antalyaspor	19	6	3	10	-17	-14.9	21
15	Sivasspor	19	5	5	9	-11	-15.1	20
16	Bodrumspor	19	4	4	11	-11	-4.8	16
17	Kayserispor	18	3	7	8	-17	-7.1	16
18	Hatayspor	19	1	7	11	-15	-13.2	10
19	Ad. Demirspor	19	2	2	15	-27	-15.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Goztep	10	9	1	0	+20	+11.1	28
2	Galatasaray	10	8	2	0	+13	+14.1	26
3	Trabzonspor	10	6	3	1	+16	+4.6	21
4	Fenerbahce	8	7	0	1	+13	+11.4	21
5	Gaziantep	10	6	3	1	+9	+1.8	21
6	Eyüpspor	9	6	2	1	+12	+4.1	20
7	Samsunspor	10	6	2	2	+8	+8.7	20
8	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+5	+7.5	20
9	Buyuksehyr	10	5	4	1	+12	+8.2	19
10	Antalyaspor	9	5	1	3	-2	-3.9	16
11	Alanyaspor	9	4	3	2	+4	+3.7	15
12	Sivasspor	10	3	4	3	+0	-5.3	13
13	Rizespor	9	3	3	3	-1	+5.7	12
14	Bodrumspor	9	3	2	4	+2	-1.1	11
15	Konyaspor	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.1	11
16	Hatayspor	11	1	5	5	-6	-5.4	8
17	Kasimpasa	9	1	4	4	-5	+2.0	7
18	Kayserispor	9	1	3	5	-11	-3.2	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	10	1	0	9	-17	-6.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+17	+5.9	25
2	Fenerbahce	11	7	3	1	+18	+13.4	24
3	Samsunspor	10	6	2	2	+7	+1.6	20
4	Kasimpasa	10	3	6	1	-1	-6.1	15
5	Eyüpspor	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.9	13
6	Rizespor	10	4	0	6	-9	-0.2	12
7	Besiktas	9	2	5	2	+3	+0.2	11
8	Buyuksehyr	9	3	1	5	-6	-0.8	10
9	Kayserispor	9	2	4	3	-6	-3.9	10
10	Konyaspor	10	3	1	6	-7	-7.5	10
11	Alanyaspor	10	1	4	5	-9	-4.9	7
12	Sivasspor	9	2	1	6	-11	-9.8	7
13	Goztep	9	1	3	5	-5	-0.0	6
14	Ad. Demirspor	9	1	2	6	-10	-8.4	5
15	Gaziantep	10	1	2	7	-11	-7.0	5
16	Bodrumspor	10	1	2	7	-13	-3.7	5
17	Antalyaspor	10	1	2	7	-15	-11.0	5
18	Trabzonspor	9	0	4	5	-6	-5.2	4
19	Hatayspor	8	0	2	6	-9	-7.8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.