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Super League

Referee: K Tsetsilas

Asteras Tripolis

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Athens Kallithea

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Athens Kallithea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Super League · 21/20 matches

Win Ø 27%

43%

10%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

48%

45%

Both score Ø 56%

57%

55%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 5. · Athens Kallithea 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	21	14	4	3	+21	46
2	AEK	20	12	4	4	+22	40
3	Panathinaikos	20	11	7	2	+9	40
4	PAOK	21	10	5	6	+12	35
5	Asteras Tripolis	21	9	5	7	+4	32
6	OFI Crete	21	8	6	7	+2	30
7	Panetolikos	20	8	5	7	+1	29
8	Aris Thessalonikis	19	8	4	7	+0	28
9	Aris	19	8	4	7	+0	28
10	Atromitos	22	7	5	10	-2	26
11	Volos NFC	21	7	2	12	-17	23
12	Panserraikos	21	6	3	12	-10	21
13	Levadeiakos	20	3	9	8	-9	18
14	Athens Kallithea	20	2	9	9	-13	15
15	Lamia	20	1	6	13	-20	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	AEK	10	7	3	0	+20	24
3	Panathinaikos	11	6	4	1	+6	22
4	Aris Thessalonikis	10	6	2	2	+6	20
5	Aris	10	6	2	2	+6	20
6	Asteras Tripolis	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Panetolikos	11	5	1	5	+1	16
8	OFI Crete	10	3	3	4	+1	12
9	Panserraikos	11	3	3	5	-3	12
10	PAOK	10	3	2	5	+1	11
11	Athens Kallithea	10	2	4	4	-5	10
12	Levadeiakos	10	2	4	4	-5	10
13	Atromitos	11	2	3	6	-4	9
14	Volos NFC	10	1	2	7	-11	5
15	Lamia	9	0	3	6	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	11	7	3	1	+11	24
2	Olympiakos	11	6	2	3	+8	20
3	Panathinaikos	9	5	3	1	+3	18
4	OFI Crete	11	5	3	3	+1	18
5	Volos NFC	11	6	0	5	-6	18
6	Atromitos	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	AEK	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Asteras Tripolis	11	4	4	3	+0	16
9	Panetolikos	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Panserraikos	10	3	0	7	-7	9
11	Levadeiakos	10	1	5	4	-4	8
12	Aris Thessalonikis	9	2	2	5	-6	8
13	Aris	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Lamia	11	1	3	7	-10	6
15	Athens Kallithea	10	0	5	5	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.