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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Welz

Hertha

T T T U S

2–3

Full-time

Hamburg

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 42%

39%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

67%

72%

Both score Ø 72%

72%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,6

2,2

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 11. · Hamburg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	19	10	4	5	+9	34
2	Magdeburg	19	8	8	3	+9	32
3	Kaiserslautern	19	9	5	5	+6	32
4	Hamburg	18	8	7	3	+17	31
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	8	6	5	+6	30
6	Hannover	18	9	3	6	+6	30
7	Karlsruhe	19	8	5	6	+1	29
8	Elversberg	19	8	4	7	+5	28
9	Paderborn	18	7	7	4	+4	28
10	Darmstadt	18	6	7	5	+7	25
11	Hertha	18	7	4	7	+1	25
12	Nurnberg	19	7	4	8	+0	25
13	Schalke 04	19	6	6	7	+1	24
14	Greuther Furth	19	5	5	9	-12	20
15	Preußen Münster	18	4	7	7	-4	19
16	Braunschweig	19	3	6	10	-20	15
17	Ulm	18	2	8	8	-5	14
18	Regensburg	18	3	2	13	-31	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	9	7	1	1	+9	22
2	Hamburg	10	5	5	0	+16	20
3	FC Koln	10	5	2	3	+8	17
4	Nurnberg	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Elversberg	10	5	1	4	+0	16
6	Kaiserslautern	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Paderborn	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Karlsruhe	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Darmstadt	9	3	4	2	+7	13
10	Braunschweig	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Schalke 04	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Greuther Furth	10	3	2	5	-8	11
13	Preußen Münster	10	2	4	4	-2	10
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	Regensburg	10	3	1	6	-10	10
16	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-4	7
17	Magdeburg	9	0	7	2	-5	7
18	Ulm	8	1	3	4	-2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	10	8	1	1	+14	25
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	Hertha	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Kaiserslautern	10	5	2	3	+1	17
5	FC Koln	9	5	2	2	+1	17
6	Karlsruhe	10	4	3	3	+0	15
7	Paderborn	9	3	5	1	+1	14
8	Schalke 04	10	3	4	3	+1	13
9	Elversberg	9	3	3	3	+5	12
10	Darmstadt	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Hamburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Preußen Münster	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Greuther Furth	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Ulm	10	1	5	4	-3	8
15	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-3	8
16	Nurnberg	10	2	2	6	-4	8
17	Braunschweig	10	0	3	7	-20	3
18	Regensburg	8	0	1	7	-21	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.