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Ligue 2

Referee: O Thual

Paris FC

S T T S T

4–1

Full-time

Red Star

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Red Star

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 43%

53%

32%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

47%

53%

Both score Ø 45%

42%

47%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris FC 4. · Red Star 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	20	10	7	3	+16	37
2	Lorient	19	11	4	4	+14	37
3	Guingamp	20	11	2	7	+11	35
4	Paris FC	19	10	4	5	+9	34
5	Laval	20	9	6	5	+11	33
6	Dunkerque	19	10	3	6	+4	33
7	Annecy	19	9	6	4	+4	33
8	Pau FC	20	7	7	6	+1	28
9	Grenoble	20	8	3	9	-2	27
10	Bastia	20	5	11	4	+4	26
11	Amiens	20	8	2	10	-7	26
12	Clermont	19	6	6	7	-3	24
13	Rodez	20	6	5	9	-2	23
14	Red Star	19	6	4	9	-12	22
15	Troyes	20	6	3	11	-4	21
16	Ajaccio	20	6	3	11	-10	21
17	Caen	20	4	3	13	-10	15
18	Martigues	20	4	3	13	-24	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	11	7	4	0	+16	25
2	Lorient	9	8	1	0	+16	25
3	Dunkerque	10	8	0	2	+8	24
4	Guingamp	10	6	2	2	+14	20
5	Grenoble	10	6	2	2	+7	20
6	Amiens	10	6	2	2	+4	20
7	Annecy	9	6	1	2	+6	19
8	Bastia	10	4	6	0	+8	18
9	Pau FC	9	5	3	1	+7	18
10	Laval	10	5	3	2	+5	18
11	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+4	17
12	Ajaccio	10	5	2	3	+3	17
13	Rodez	10	4	1	5	-1	13
14	Clermont	10	2	5	3	+1	11
15	Troyes	9	3	2	4	+0	11
16	Caen	11	3	2	6	-3	11
17	Red Star	9	3	2	4	-6	11
18	Martigues	11	1	1	9	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	10	5	2	3	+5	17
2	Laval	10	4	3	3	+6	15
3	Guingamp	10	5	0	5	-3	15
4	Annecy	10	3	5	2	-2	14
5	Clermont	9	4	1	4	-4	13
6	Metz	9	3	3	3	+0	12
7	Lorient	10	3	3	4	-2	12
8	Red Star	10	3	2	5	-6	11
9	Martigues	9	3	2	4	-10	11
10	Rodez	10	2	4	4	-1	10
11	Troyes	11	3	1	7	-4	10
12	Pau FC	11	2	4	5	-6	10
13	Dunkerque	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Bastia	10	1	5	4	-4	8
15	Grenoble	10	2	1	7	-9	7
16	Amiens	10	2	0	8	-11	6
17	Caen	9	1	1	7	-7	4
18	Ajaccio	10	1	1	8	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.