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Ligue 1

Referee: Stephane Jochem

Dijon

T S S T S

3–1

Full-time

Toulouse

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,2

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

31%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

69%

31%

Both score Ø 54%

69%

38%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

7 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dijon 13. · Toulouse 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	2	0	+34	35
2	Monaco	13	9	2	2	+22	29
3	Lyon	13	7	5	1	+17	26
4	Marseille	13	7	4	2	+9	25
5	Nantes	14	7	2	5	-2	23
6	St Etienne	14	5	4	5	-4	19
7	Caen	13	6	1	6	-5	19
8	Rennes	14	5	3	6	-1	18
9	Montpellier	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Bordeaux	13	4	5	4	-2	17
11	Toulouse	13	4	4	5	-5	16
12	Amiens	13	4	3	6	-3	15
13	Dijon	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Troyes	13	4	3	6	-5	15
15	Guingamp	13	4	3	6	-8	15
16	Angers	13	2	8	3	-3	14
17	Nice	13	4	2	7	-5	14
18	Strasbourg	14	3	5	6	-9	14
19	Lille	13	3	3	7	-7	12
20	Metz	13	1	1	11	-19	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+21	21
2	Monaco	6	5	1	0	+17	16
3	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+8	15
4	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Caen	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Guingamp	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	St Etienne	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+8	11
9	Bordeaux	6	3	2	1	+3	11
10	Toulouse	6	3	2	1	+2	11
11	Nice	7	3	1	3	+3	10
12	Amiens	6	3	1	2	+3	10
13	Rennes	7	3	1	3	+0	10
14	Dijon	7	3	1	3	-1	10
15	Montpellier	7	2	3	2	+1	9
16	Strasbourg	6	2	2	2	+2	8
17	Lille	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Troyes	7	2	2	3	-3	8
19	Angers	6	0	3	3	-7	3
20	Metz	6	0	0	6	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	4	2	0	+13	14
2	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+1	14
3	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Lyon	6	3	2	1	+9	11
5	Angers	7	2	5	0	+4	11
6	Nantes	8	3	1	4	-5	10
7	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Rennes	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Troyes	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	St Etienne	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-5	6
12	Caen	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Strasbourg	8	1	3	4	-11	6
14	Dijon	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Amiens	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Toulouse	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	Lille	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Metz	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Nice	6	1	1	4	-8	4
20	Guingamp	6	1	0	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.