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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Lyon

S S T U U

0–1

Full-time

Paris SG

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

40%

80%

Points per game

1,6

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

2,4

2,2

Conceded

0,8

0,4

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

12 Shots 21

0 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 10

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 11

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 9. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Angers	6	4	0	2	+3	12
3	Nice	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Rennes	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+1	11
6	Lille	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Nantes	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Bordeaux	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+8	8
10	Reims	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Toulouse	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Amiens	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Brest	6	1	4	1	-2	7
16	Strasbourg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
17	St Etienne	6	1	2	3	-6	5
18	Metz	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Monaco	6	0	3	3	-7	3
20	Dijon	6	0	1	5	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Lille	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Nantes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Nice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Montpellier	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Reims	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Brest	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Strasbourg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+6	4
14	Rennes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Amiens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Marseille	3	1	1	1	-1	4
17	Metz	3	1	0	2	+0	3
18	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Nice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+2	4
5	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Reims	3	1	0	2	+0	3
8	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	St Etienne	4	1	0	3	-6	3
11	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Brest	3	0	2	1	-3	2
13	Nimes	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Monaco	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Toulouse	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Lille	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Metz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Angers	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.