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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Rennes
S S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Nice
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 2. · Nice 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 4 3 0 1 +8 9
2 Rennes 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Angers 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 Lyon 4 2 1 1 +8 7
5 Nantes 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Toulouse 4 2 1 1 -1 7
7 Lille 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Nice 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Bordeaux 4 1 2 1 +0 5
10 Brest 4 1 2 1 -2 5
11 Reims 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Nimes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Marseille 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Montpellier 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Metz 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 St Etienne 3 1 1 1 -2 4
17 Amiens 4 1 0 3 -3 3
18 Strasbourg 3 0 2 1 -2 2
19 Monaco 3 0 1 2 -6 1
20 Dijon 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Nice
0–1 G. Lloris
own goal
25′
28′
🟨 Patrick Burner
Half-time 0–1
49′
🟨 Bassem Srarfi
63′
W. Cyprien 0–2
J. Lea Siliki 🔁
↦ C. Grenier
75′
75′
🔁 A. Ounas
↦ A. Lusamba
75′
🔁 I. Ganago
↦ B. Srarfi
R. Del Castillo 🔁
↦ T. Siebatcheu
76′
Eduardo Camavinga 🟨
81′
85′
🟨 Pierre Lees Melou
86′
🔁 S. N'Soki
↦ Y. Atal
A. Hunou 🔁
↦ F. Maouassa
87′
Hamari Traore 🟨
88′
92′
R. Coly 0–3
S. N'Soki
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Rennes

5-3-2
16 E. Mendy G
15 J. Morel D
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
26 J. Gelin D
8 C. Grenier M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
17 F. Maouassa D
18 E. Camavinga M
11 M. Niang F
9 T. Siebatcheu F
Bench (7)
12 J. Lea Siliki
22 R. Del Castillo
23 A. Hunou
1 R. Salin
6 J. Johansson
10 R. Guitane
4 G. Nyamsi

Coach: J. Stéphan

Nice

4-3-3
40 W. Benítez G
3 G. Lloris D
12 R. Coly D
15 P. Burner D
20 Y. Atal F
24 A. Pelmard D
5 A. Tameze M
25 W. Cyprien M
8 P. Lees Melou M
22 A. Lusamba F
11 B. Srarfi F
Bench (7)
10 A. Ounas
14 I. Ganago
2 S. N'Soki
35 E. Guessand
16 Y. Clementia
19 K. Thuram-Ulien
34 I. Cissé

Coach: P. Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,71
U
3,56
B ✓
5,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.