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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Rennes
U U S S S
2–1
Full-time
Paris SG
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 8. · Paris SG 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +9 6
2 Nice 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Metz 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Reims 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 St Etienne 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Toulouse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Amiens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Lille 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Angers 2 1 0 1 -4 3
12 Brest 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Strasbourg 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Montpellier 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Nantes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Bordeaux 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Marseille 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Nimes 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Monaco 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Paris SG
36′
E. Cavani 0–1
42′
🟨 Julian Draxler
1–1 M. Niang
H. Traoré
44′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 R. Del Castillo
E. Camavinga
48′
54′
🟨 Thomas Meunier
58′
🟨 Marco Verratti
64′
🔁 Pablo Sarabia
↦ Á. Di María
64′
🔁 C. Dagba
↦ T. Meunier
67′
🟨 Juan Bernat
T. Siebatcheu 🔁
↦ R. Del Castillo
73′
J. Lea Siliki 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
77′
77′
🔁 L. Paredes
↦ J. Draxler
S. Boey 🔁
↦ F. Maouassa
79′
Jordan Siebatcheu 🟨
85′
88′
🟨 Edinson Cavani
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rennes

5-3-2
1 R. Salin G
15 J. Morel D
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
26 J. Gelin D
8 C. Grenier M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
17 F. Maouassa D
18 E. Camavinga M
11 M. Niang F
22 R. Del Castillo F
Bench (7)
9 T. Siebatcheu
12 J. Lea Siliki
31 S. Boey
16 E. Mendy
34 Y. Gboho
4 G. Nyamsi
6 J. Johansson

Coach: J. Stéphan

Paris SG

4-3-3
16 A. Areola G
2 Thiago Silva D
12 T. Meunier D
5 Marquinhos M
14 Juan Bernat D
22 A. Diallo D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
23 J. Draxler M
9 E. Cavani F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
19 Pablo Sarabia
31 C. Dagba
8 L. Paredes
27 I. Gueye
17 E. Choupo-Moting
30 M. Bulka
33 N. Kouassi

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
7,83
U
5,35
B
1,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,42
U2,5
2,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.