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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Brest

S S S T T

1–1

Full-time

Nantes

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 39%

31%

46%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

38%

31%

Both score Ø 39%

46%

31%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 13. · Nantes 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	11	0	3	+22	33
2	Marseille	13	6	4	3	-1	22
3	Angers	13	6	3	4	+1	21
4	St Etienne	13	6	3	4	-2	21
5	Lyon	14	5	4	5	+8	19
6	Montpellier	13	5	4	4	+4	19
7	Bordeaux	13	5	4	4	+3	19
8	Lille	14	5	4	5	+3	19
9	Reims	13	5	4	4	+3	19
10	Nantes	13	6	1	6	-1	19
11	Rennes	12	5	3	4	+3	18
12	Monaco	13	5	3	5	-2	18
13	Brest	13	4	5	4	-2	17
14	Nice	14	5	2	7	-4	17
15	Amiens	13	4	4	5	-3	16
16	Strasbourg	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Metz	13	3	4	6	-7	13
18	Dijon	13	3	3	7	-7	12
19	Toulouse	13	3	3	7	-10	12
20	Nimes	12	2	5	5	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	0	1	+16	18
2	Lille	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Angers	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Montpellier	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Strasbourg	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+3	14
7	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Nantes	7	4	1	2	+2	13
9	Brest	7	3	3	1	+4	12
10	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+7	11
11	Nice	7	3	2	2	+0	11
12	Rennes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
13	Reims	7	2	4	1	+2	10
14	Amiens	6	3	1	2	+1	10
15	St Etienne	6	2	3	1	+1	9
16	Toulouse	6	3	0	3	-1	9
17	Bordeaux	6	2	2	2	+2	8
18	Metz	6	2	2	2	+1	8
19	Dijon	6	2	2	2	-1	8
20	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+6	15
2	St Etienne	7	4	0	3	-3	12
3	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+1	11
4	Reims	6	3	0	3	+1	9
5	Lyon	7	2	2	3	+1	8
6	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	Marseille	6	2	2	2	-4	8
8	Nantes	6	2	0	4	-3	6
9	Amiens	7	1	3	3	-4	6
10	Nice	7	2	0	5	-4	6
11	Monaco	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Brest	6	1	2	3	-6	5
13	Metz	7	1	2	4	-8	5
14	Angers	6	1	2	3	-9	5
15	Dijon	7	1	1	5	-6	4
16	Nimes	7	0	4	3	-7	4
17	Montpellier	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Toulouse	7	0	3	4	-9	3
19	Lille	7	0	2	5	-7	2
20	Strasbourg	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.