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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Bordeaux
S T T S U
2–1
Full-time
Monaco
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
38%
69%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 12
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bordeaux 9. · Monaco 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 11 0 3 +22 33
2 Angers 14 7 3 4 +2 24
3 Marseille 13 6 4 3 -1 22
4 St Etienne 13 6 3 4 -2 21
5 Reims 14 5 5 4 +3 20
6 Nantes 14 6 2 6 -1 20
7 Lyon 14 5 4 5 +8 19
8 Montpellier 13 5 4 4 +4 19
9 Bordeaux 13 5 4 4 +3 19
10 Lille 14 5 4 5 +3 19
11 Rennes 13 5 3 5 +2 18
12 Strasbourg 14 5 3 6 +1 18
13 Monaco 13 5 3 5 -2 18
14 Brest 14 4 6 4 -2 18
15 Nice 14 5 2 7 -4 17
16 Amiens 14 4 4 6 -7 16
17 Dijon 14 4 3 7 -6 15
18 Metz 14 3 5 6 -7 14
19 Toulouse 13 3 3 7 -10 12
20 Nimes 13 2 5 6 -6 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Monaco
Aurelien Tchouameni 🟨
7′
15′
I. Slimani 0–1
W. Ben Yedder
Loris Benito 🟨
23′
Toma Bašić 🟨
28′
1–1 Pablo
N. de Préville
29′
37′
🟨 Tiemoué Bakayoko
Half-time 1–1
54′
🟨 Islam Slimani
59′
🟨 Gil Dias
66′
🟨 Benjamin Henrichs
67′
🟨 Islam Slimani
67′
🟥 Islam Slimani
69′
🔁 R. Aguilar
↦ Gelson Martins
2–1 N. de Préville
69′
Y. Benrahou 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-jo
70′
75′
🔁 K. Baldé
↦ B. Badiashile
82′
🔁 J. Augustin
↦ T. Bakayoko
Y. Adli 🔁
↦ A. Tchouaméni
87′
M. Poundjé 🔁
↦ Jonathan Cafú
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

3-4-2-1
1 B. Costil G
23 L. Benito D
3 Pablo D
25 E. Kwateng D
26 T. Bašić M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
12 N. de Préville F
42 Jonathan Cafú M
18 Hwang Ui-jo F
10 S. Kalu M
9 J. Maja F
Bench (7)
22 Y. Benrahou
19 Y. Adli
29 M. Poundjé
44 P. Baysse
2 R. Bellanova
16 G. Poussin
33 M. Zerkane

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Monaco

3-5-2
40 B. Lecomte G
3 G. Maripán D
39 B. Henrichs M
5 Jemerson D
32 B. Badiashile D
6 T. Bakayoko M
17 A. Golovin M
31 Gil Dias M
20 I. Slimani F
9 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
12 R. Aguilar
14 K. Baldé
22 J. Augustin
4 Fàbregas
2 F. Ballo
1 D. Subašić
25 K. Glik

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,28
U
3,48
B
2,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.