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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Dijon
S T U T U
2–2
Full-time
Metz
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 20%
22%
17%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
39%
44%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dijon 16. · Metz 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 14 0 3 +30 42
2 Marseille 18 10 5 3 +6 35
3 Lille 18 9 4 5 +7 31
4 Rennes 17 9 3 5 +6 30
5 Nantes 18 9 2 7 +0 29
6 Reims 17 7 6 4 +6 27
7 Bordeaux 18 7 5 6 +7 26
8 Lyon 18 7 4 7 +11 25
9 Monaco 17 7 4 6 +1 25
10 Angers 18 7 4 7 -3 25
11 St Etienne 18 7 4 7 -6 25
12 Montpellier 18 6 6 6 +3 24
13 Nice 18 7 3 8 -2 24
14 Strasbourg 18 7 3 8 -2 24
15 Brest 18 5 7 6 +1 22
16 Dijon 18 4 5 9 -8 17
17 Amiens 17 4 5 8 -12 17
18 Metz 18 3 7 8 -11 16
19 Toulouse 18 3 3 12 -17 12
20 Nimes 17 2 6 9 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Metz
14′
H. Diallo 0–1
1–1 R. Amalfitano
18′
2–1 Mama Baldé
W. Lautoa
42′
45′
🟨 Matthieu Udol
Half-time 2–1
53′
🟥 Stoppila Sunzu
F. Balmont 🔁
↦ J. Cádiz
65′
Hamza Mendyl 🟨
71′
72′
🔁 V. Angban
↦ F. Boulaya
M. Alphonse 🔁
↦ F. Chafik
76′
82′
🔁 M. Gakpa
↦ R. Cohade
S. Mavididi 🔁
↦ M. Chouiar
85′
86′
🔁 T. Ambrose
↦ O. Nguette
Romain Amalfitano 🟨
87′
90′
🟨 Digbo Maiga
91′
H. Maïga 2–2
H. Diallo
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Dijon

4-2-3-1
16 A. Gomis G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
24 W. Lautoa D
26 F. Chafik D
27 H. Mendyl D
20 R. Amalfitano M
22 D. Ndong M
17 Mama Baldé M
11 Júlio Tavares F
19 J. Cádiz M
21 M. Chouiar M
Bench (7)
15 F. Balmont
2 M. Alphonse
9 S. Mavididi
7 F. Sammaritano
14 J. Marié
1 R. Rúnarsson
10 Matheus Pereira

Coach: S. Jobard

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
13 S. Sunzu D
3 M. Udol D
18 F. Centonze D
24 R. Cohade M
11 O. Nguette
27 F. Boulaya F
19 H. Maïga M
4 K. N'Doram M
6 M. Fofana D
20 H. Diallo F
Bench (7)
5 V. Angban
10 M. Gakpa
9 T. Ambrose
8 B. Traore
33 L. Lacroix
23 A. Dia N'Diaye
1 P. Delecroix

Coach: V. Hognon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U ✓
3,18
B
3,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,44
U2,5
1,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.