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Pro League

Referee: Jasper Vergoote

Royal Excel Mouscron

U U T U S

1–1

Full-time

Charleroi

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — Pro League · 19/22 matches

Win Ø 46%

32%

59%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

58%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

63%

45%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4 Corners 7

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 10. · Charleroi 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	21	17	3	1	+38	54
2	Charleroi	22	13	6	3	+20	45
3	Antwerp	22	13	4	5	+19	43
4	Standard	22	12	6	4	+21	42
5	Gent	21	11	5	5	+17	38
6	Genk	23	11	5	7	+11	38
7	Waregem	21	10	5	6	+10	35
8	Mechelen	22	10	5	7	+1	35
9	Mouscron	20	6	9	5	+2	27
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	19	6	8	5	+2	26
11	Anderlecht	21	5	10	6	+0	25
12	St Truiden	21	6	5	10	-16	23
13	Eupen	21	5	5	11	-17	20
14	Oostende	22	5	4	13	-16	19
15	Kortrijk	22	4	4	14	-13	16
16	Cercle Brugge	22	3	4	15	-27	13
17	Waasland-Beveren	19	2	5	12	-26	11
18	Beveren	19	2	5	12	-26	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	12	9	2	1	+19	29
2	Gent	10	9	1	0	+21	28
3	Antwerp	10	9	1	0	+16	28
4	Club Brugge	11	8	3	0	+21	27
5	Genk	12	8	1	3	+8	25
6	Charleroi	11	8	1	2	+8	25
7	Waregem	10	6	1	3	+12	19
8	Mouscron	10	4	5	1	+6	17
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	4	4	1	+6	16
10	Mechelen	11	4	4	3	-1	16
11	Anderlecht	11	3	6	2	+3	15
12	Oostende	11	4	3	4	-2	15
13	Kortrijk	12	3	2	7	-2	11
14	St Truiden	11	2	5	4	-3	11
15	Cercle Brugge	11	3	2	6	-8	11
16	Eupen	10	2	4	4	-5	10
17	Waasland-Beveren	9	1	2	6	-15	5
18	Beveren	9	1	2	6	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	9	0	1	+17	27
2	Charleroi	11	5	5	1	+12	20
3	Mechelen	11	6	1	4	+2	19
4	Waregem	11	4	4	3	-2	16
5	Antwerp	12	4	3	5	+3	15
6	Genk	11	3	4	4	+3	13
7	Standard	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	St Truiden	10	4	0	6	-13	12
9	Anderlecht	10	2	4	4	-3	10
10	Gent	11	2	4	5	-4	10
11	Mouscron	10	2	4	4	-4	10
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	2	4	4	-4	10
13	Eupen	11	3	1	7	-12	10
14	Waasland-Beveren	10	1	3	6	-11	6
15	Beveren	10	1	3	6	-11	6
16	Kortrijk	10	1	2	7	-11	5
17	Oostende	11	1	1	9	-14	4
18	Cercle Brugge	11	0	2	9	-19	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.