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Serie B

Crotone

S T U T T

2–1

Full-time

Livorno

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Livorno

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 29%

38%

19%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

56%

31%

Both score Ø 51%

63%

38%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

16 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 3

18 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 10. · Livorno 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Pordenone	16	8	4	4	+6	28
3	Frosinone	16	7	5	4	+7	26
4	Virtus Entella	16	7	4	5	+3	25
5	Cittadella	16	7	4	5	+0	25
6	Ascoli	16	7	3	6	+5	24
7	Chievo	16	6	6	4	+3	24
8	Pisa	16	6	5	5	+3	23
9	Perugia	16	6	5	5	-2	23
10	Crotone	16	6	4	6	+4	22
11	Salernitana	16	6	4	6	-1	22
12	Pescara	16	6	3	7	+1	21
13	Empoli	16	5	6	5	-4	21
14	Spezia	16	5	5	6	+1	20
15	Cremonese	16	5	5	6	-6	20
16	Venezia	16	4	7	5	-2	19
17	Juve Stabia	16	5	2	9	-10	17
18	Cosenza	16	2	8	6	-2	14
19	Trapani	16	3	4	9	-14	13
20	Livorno	16	3	2	11	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Frosinone	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Pordenone	8	6	2	0	+11	20
4	Ascoli	8	6	1	1	+8	19
5	Virtus Entella	8	5	2	1	+5	17
6	Crotone	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Empoli	8	4	3	1	+5	15
8	Chievo	8	4	3	1	+4	15
9	Perugia	8	4	3	1	+4	15
10	Pisa	8	4	2	2	+4	14
11	Cremonese	8	4	2	2	+1	14
12	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+0	14
13	Salernitana	8	3	4	1	+2	13
14	Pescara	8	3	3	2	+5	12
15	Spezia	8	3	2	3	+2	11
16	Juve Stabia	8	3	1	4	-4	10
17	Livorno	8	3	0	5	-3	9
18	Venezia	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cosenza	8	1	4	3	-1	7
20	Trapani	8	1	3	4	-4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	8	4	3	1	+3	15
2	Venezia	8	2	5	1	+2	11
3	Cittadella	8	3	2	3	+0	11
4	Spezia	8	2	3	3	-1	9
5	Chievo	8	2	3	3	-1	9
6	Pisa	8	2	3	3	-1	9
7	Salernitana	8	3	0	5	-3	9
8	Pescara	8	3	0	5	-4	9
9	Virtus Entella	8	2	2	4	-2	8
10	Pordenone	8	2	2	4	-5	8
11	Perugia	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Cosenza	8	1	4	3	-1	7
13	Crotone	8	2	1	5	-2	7
14	Juve Stabia	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Trapani	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Frosinone	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	Cremonese	8	1	3	4	-7	6
18	Empoli	8	1	3	4	-9	6
19	Ascoli	8	1	2	5	-3	5
20	Livorno	8	0	2	6	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.