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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Nice

T S T S U

3–0

Full-time

Toulouse

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 28%

39%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

61%

Both score Ø 67%

78%

56%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 13. · Toulouse 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	14	0	3	+30	42
2	Marseille	18	10	5	3	+6	35
3	Lille	18	9	4	5	+7	31
4	Rennes	17	9	3	5	+6	30
5	Nantes	18	9	2	7	+0	29
6	Reims	17	7	6	4	+6	27
7	Bordeaux	18	7	5	6	+7	26
8	Lyon	18	7	4	7	+11	25
9	Monaco	17	7	4	6	+1	25
10	Angers	18	7	4	7	-3	25
11	St Etienne	18	7	4	7	-6	25
12	Montpellier	18	6	6	6	+3	24
13	Nice	18	7	3	8	-2	24
14	Strasbourg	18	7	3	8	-2	24
15	Brest	18	5	7	6	+1	22
16	Dijon	18	4	5	9	-8	17
17	Amiens	17	4	5	8	-12	17
18	Metz	18	3	7	8	-11	16
19	Toulouse	18	3	3	12	-17	12
20	Nimes	17	2	6	9	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Paris SG	8	7	0	1	+18	21
3	Angers	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Marseille	9	6	2	1	+6	20
5	Montpellier	9	6	1	2	+7	19
6	Nantes	9	6	1	2	+4	19
7	Brest	10	4	5	1	+9	17
8	Nice	9	5	2	2	+5	17
9	Strasbourg	9	5	2	2	+5	17
10	Monaco	8	5	1	2	+6	16
11	Rennes	8	5	1	2	+4	16
12	Bordeaux	9	4	2	3	+8	14
13	Reims	9	3	5	1	+4	14
14	St Etienne	9	3	4	2	+0	13
15	Dijon	8	3	3	2	+0	12
16	Lyon	9	3	2	4	+5	11
17	Amiens	8	3	2	3	-3	11
18	Metz	9	2	4	3	+0	10
19	Toulouse	9	3	0	6	-5	9
20	Nimes	8	2	2	4	-3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	0	2	+12	21
2	Marseille	9	4	3	2	+0	15
3	Lyon	9	4	2	3	+6	14
4	Rennes	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Reims	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	Bordeaux	9	3	3	3	-1	12
7	St Etienne	9	4	0	5	-6	12
8	Nantes	9	3	1	5	-4	10
9	Monaco	9	2	3	4	-5	9
10	Nice	9	2	1	6	-7	7
11	Strasbourg	9	2	1	6	-7	7
12	Amiens	9	1	3	5	-9	6
13	Metz	9	1	3	5	-11	6
14	Montpellier	9	0	5	4	-4	5
15	Lille	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Brest	8	1	2	5	-8	5
17	Dijon	10	1	2	7	-8	5
18	Angers	8	1	2	5	-12	5
19	Nimes	9	0	4	5	-14	4
20	Toulouse	9	0	3	6	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.