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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Montpellier

S T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Nantes

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 31%

44%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 64%

67%

61%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

8 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 9. · Nantes 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	18	11	6	1	+21	39
2	Paris SG	18	11	3	4	+29	36
3	Lille	18	10	6	2	+18	36
4	Rennes	18	9	5	4	+7	32
5	Marseille	16	9	4	3	+9	31
6	Monaco	18	9	3	6	+6	30
7	Angers	18	9	3	6	-2	30
8	Lens	17	8	3	6	+1	27
9	Montpellier	18	8	3	7	-1	27
10	Brest	18	8	2	8	-1	26
11	Metz	18	6	6	6	+2	24
12	Bordeaux	18	6	5	7	-2	23
13	Nice	17	6	4	7	-3	22
14	St Etienne	18	4	7	7	-7	19
15	Reims	18	4	6	8	-4	18
16	Strasbourg	18	5	2	11	-5	17
17	Nantes	18	3	7	8	-12	16
18	Dijon	18	2	7	9	-14	13
19	Lorient	18	3	3	12	-17	12
20	Nimes	18	3	3	12	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	9	6	3	0	+14	21
2	Lille	10	6	3	1	+12	21
3	Paris SG	9	6	1	2	+17	19
4	Brest	9	6	1	2	+5	19
5	Monaco	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Rennes	9	5	1	3	+1	16
7	Marseille	8	4	3	1	+5	15
8	Lens	8	4	2	2	+2	14
9	Metz	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Angers	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Bordeaux	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Montpellier	9	4	0	5	-3	12
13	Nantes	9	2	5	2	-4	11
14	St Etienne	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Strasbourg	9	2	2	5	-3	8
16	Reims	8	2	2	4	-4	8
17	Nice	9	2	2	5	-8	8
18	Lorient	9	2	1	6	-6	7
19	Dijon	9	0	4	5	-7	4
20	Nimes	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	9	5	3	1	+7	18
2	Paris SG	9	5	2	2	+12	17
3	Angers	9	5	2	2	+1	17
4	Rennes	9	4	4	1	+6	16
5	Marseille	8	5	1	2	+4	16
6	Lille	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Montpellier	9	4	3	2	+2	15
8	Nice	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	Lens	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Monaco	9	4	0	5	-1	12
11	Bordeaux	9	3	2	4	-3	11
12	Reims	10	2	4	4	+0	10
13	Metz	9	2	4	3	+0	10
14	Strasbourg	9	3	0	6	-2	9
15	St Etienne	9	2	3	4	-5	9
16	Dijon	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	Nimes	9	2	2	5	-12	8
18	Brest	9	2	1	6	-6	7
19	Nantes	9	1	2	6	-8	5
20	Lorient	9	1	2	6	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.