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Premier League
Referee: M Atkinson
Newcastle
T S T S S
2–4
Full-time
West Ham
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 9
7 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 3
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Everton 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Brighton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Aston Villa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
10 Burnley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Wolves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 Arsenal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Norwich 1 0 0 1 -3 0
15 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 Leeds 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Newcastle West Ham
1–0 C. Wilson
A. Saint-Maximin
5′
18′
ℹ️ Aaron Cresswell
VAR: Goal confirmed
18′
A. Cresswell 1–1
Pablo Fornals
2–1 J. Murphy
M. Ritchie
40′
Half-time 2–1
Jonjo Shelvey 🟨
51′
53′
S. Benrahma 2–2
M. Antonio
63′
T. Souček 2–3
66′
M. Antonio 2–4
S. Benrahma
R. Fraser 🔁
↦ J. Shelvey
70′
S. Longstaff 🔁
↦ E. Krafth
84′
Joelinton 🔁
↦ C. Wilson
85′
88′
🔁 R. Fredericks
↦ S. Benrahma
90′
🔁 A. Yarmolenko
↦ J. Bowen
93′
🔁 B. Johnson
↦ M. Antonio
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Newcastle

5-3-2
27 F. Woodman G
18 F. Fernández D
2 C. Clark D
17 E. Krafth D
8 J. Shelvey M
11 M. Ritchie D
14 I. Hayden M
24 M. Almirón M
10 A. Saint-Maximin F
23 J. Murphy D
9 C. Wilson F
Bench (9)
21 R. Fraser
36 S. Longstaff
7 Joelinton
29 M. Gillespie
6 J. Lascelles
34 D. Gayle
12 J. Lewis
16 J. Hendrick
5 F. Schär

Coach: S. Bruce

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
21 A. Ogbonna D
3 A. Cresswell D
15 C. Dawson D
5 V. Coufal D
9 M. Antonio F
28 T. Souček M
41 D. Rice M
8 Pablo Fornals M
22 S. Benrahma M
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (9)
24 R. Fredericks
7 A. Yarmolenko
31 B. Johnson
54 C. Coventry
13 A. Areola
16 M. Noble
75 J. Baptiste
10 M. Lanzini
23 I. Diop

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,20
U
3,51
B ✓
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,90
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Atkinson · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.