Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Newcastle
West Ham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |
Chelsea
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Everton
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |
Brentford
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Watford
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Brighton
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Leicester
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 |
Burnley
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |
Wolves
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Southampton
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |
Norwich
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 |
Leeds
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Woodman
G
J. Murphy
D
C. Wilson
F
Coach: S. Bruce
V. Coufal
D
M. Antonio
F
D. Rice
M
Pablo Fornals
M
J. Bowen
M
Coach: D. Moyes
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Fulham
Newcastle
Newcastle
Sheffield United
Newcastle
Man City
Leicester
Newcastle
Newcastle
Arsenal
M Atkinson · 53 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.