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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
FC Koln
T U S T S
3–1
Full-time
Hertha
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 M'gladbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Bayern Munich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Union Berlin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Leverkusen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Freiburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
15 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -4 0
16 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Hertha
5′
S. Jovetić 0–1
Matheus Cunha
Timo Hübers 🟨
16′
1–1 A. Modeste
J. Thielmann
41′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 F. Kainz
52′
3–1 F. Kainz
B. Schmitz
55′
59′
🔁 L. Klünter
↦ P. Pekarík
59′
🔁 D. Zeefuik
↦ K. Boateng
65′
🔁 D. Lukébakio
↦ Matheus Cunha
65′
🔁 M. Richter
↦ S. Jovetić
Rafael Czichos 🟨
67′
O. Duda 🔁
↦ M. Uth
68′
S. Özcan 🔁
↦ D. Ljubičić
76′
L. Schaub 🔁
↦ F. Kainz
76′
S. Andersson 🔁
↦ A. Modeste
76′
Jan Thielmann 🟨
77′
Ellyes Skhiri 🟨
80′
K. Ehizibue 🔁
↦ B. Schmitz
84′
90′
🟨 Marvin Plattenhardt
94′
🟨 Suat Serdar
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-3-1-2
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
2 B. Schmitz D
4 T. Hübers D
11 F. Kainz M
14 J. Hector D
28 E. Skhiri M
7 D. Ljubičić M
29 J. Thielmann M
27 A. Modeste F
13 M. Uth F
Bench (9)
18 O. Duda
6 S. Özcan
21 L. Schaub
9 S. Andersson
19 K. Ehizibue
25 T. Lemperle
20 M. Schwäbe
22 Jorge Meré
31 T. Ostrák

Coach: S. Baumgart

Hertha

4-3-3
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
5 N. Stark D
31 M. Dárdai D
27 K. Boateng M
8 S. Serdar F
29 L. Tousart M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
19 S. Jovetić F
10 Matheus Cunha F
Bench (9)
13 L. Klünter
42 D. Zeefuik
11 D. Lukébakio
23 M. Richter
16 J. Dilrosun
6 V. Darida
17 M. Mittelstädt
12 N. Körber
25 J. Torunarigha

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,57
U
3,34
B
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,88
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.