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Primeira Liga
Referee: David Silva
Santa Clara
T S S S T
2–2
Full-time
Moreirense
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Moreirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 21
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Santa Clara 17. · Moreirense 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Gil Vicente 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Porto 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Estoril 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Tondela 2 1 0 1 +2 3
7 Pacos Ferreira 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Sp Braga 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Portimonense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Vizela 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Guimaraes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Moreirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Belenenses 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Famalicao 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Boavista 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Arouca 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Moreirense
35′
🟨 Fábio Pacheco
Half-time 0–0
Costinha 🟨
49′
Ricardinho 🔁
↦ Costinha
50′
Mikel Villanueva 🟨
54′
Paulo Henrique 🟨
58′
58′
🟨 Artur Jorge
1–0 Carlos
58′
62′
🟨 Steven Vitória
Jean Patric 🔁
↦ Paulo Henrique
66′
73′
🔁 Derik Lacerda
↦ G. Frimpong
73′
🔁 Rodrigo Conceição
↦ Rúben Ramos
73′
🔁 Gonçalo Franco
↦ Fábio Pacheco
76′
🟥 Rodrigo Conceição
77′
🟨 Lazar Rosić
Lincoln 🟨
80′
84′
🔁 André Luís
↦ Rafael Martins
84′
🔁 I. Camará
↦ Felipe Pires
Allano 🔁
↦ Rui Costa
85′
Allano 🟨
90′
90′
Yan 1–1
2–1 Carlos
94′
100′
0 André Luís 2–2
I. Camará
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Santa Clara

3-4-3
1 Ricardo Fernandes G
6 Mansur D
5 João Afonso D
3 M. Villanueva D
16 Paulo Henrique M
2 Rafael Ramos M
11 Costinha F
10 Lincoln M
25 H. Morita M
13 Carlos F
77 Rui Costa F
Bench (4)
98 Ricardinho
26 Jean Patric
7 Allano
4 K. Boateng

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Moreirense

3-4-3
14 Mateus Pasinato G
19 S. Vitória D
3 L. Rosić D
4 Artur Jorge D
23 G. Frimpong M
6 Fábio Pacheco M
21 Filipe Soares M
66 Rúben Ramos M
99 Rafael Martins F
10 Felipe Pires F
11 Yan F
Bench (9)
27 Derik Lacerda
2 Rodrigo Conceição
88 Gonçalo Franco
9 André Luís
8 I. Camará
30 A. Ba
13 Matheus Silva
1 Kewin
16 Sori Mané

Coach: João Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U ✓
3,13
B
3,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Silva · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.