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Bundesliga
Referee: G Grobelnik
LASK
T T S U U
1–3
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,2
4,5
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
1,7
4,3
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 4. · Sturm Graz 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 4 4 0 0 +10 12
2 Ried 4 2 1 1 -4 7
3 Sturm Graz 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 LASK 3 1 2 0 +1 5
5 Admira 4 1 1 2 +2 4
6 SK Rapid 3 1 1 1 +1 4
7 Hartberg 4 1 1 2 +0 4
8 Tirol 4 0 4 0 +0 4
9 A. Klagenfurt 3 1 1 1 -3 4
10 Altach 3 1 0 2 -2 3
11 Wolfsberger AC 4 0 2 2 -6 2
12 Austria Vienna 3 0 1 2 -2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

LASK Sturm Graz
Philipp Wiesinger 🟨
7′
19′
🟨 Jusuf Gazibegovic
D. Maresic 🔁
↦ Y. Letard
32′
Half-time 0–0
Lukas Grgić 🟨
51′
61′
🔁 M. Sarkaria
↦ J. Jantscher
61′
🔁 I. Ljubic
↦ A. Kuen
64′
🟨 Otar Kiteishvili
66′
K. Yeboah 0–1
M. Raguž 🔁
↦ M. Karamoko
72′
Hong Hyeon-seok 🔁
↦ L. Grgic
72′
K. Nakamura 🔁
↦ H. Balić
72′
75′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
Peter Michorl 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 A. Niangbo
↦ K. Yeboah
77′
🔁 L. Jäger
↦ J. Gazibegović
83′
M. Sarkaria 0–2
I. Ljubic
M. Potzmann 🔁
↦ F. Flecker
85′
1–2 P. Michorl
Hong Hyeon-seok
85′
89′
🔁 A. Prass
↦ O. Kiteishvili
94′
M. Sarkaria 1–3
G. Wüthrich
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

LASK

3-4-3
1 A. Schlager G
5 P. Filipović D
6 P. Wiesinger D
4 Y. Letard D
8 P. Michorl M
7 R. Renner M
31 L. Grgic M
14 H. Balić F
29 F. Flecker M
27 T. Goiginger F
9 M. Karamoko F
Bench (7)
44 D. Maresic
10 M. Raguž
21 Hong Hyeon-seok
38 K. Nakamura
19 M. Potzmann
34 J. Boller
36 T. Gebauer

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
5 G. Wüthrich D
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
44 A. Dante D
25 S. Hierländer M
19 A. Kuen M
4 J. Stankovič M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
13 J. Jantscher F
9 K. Yeboah F
Bench (7)
11 M. Sarkaria
30 I. Ljubic
15 A. Niangbo
17 L. Jäger
8 A. Prass
35 N. Geyrhofer
32 T. Schützenauer

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Grobelnik · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.