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2. Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

U T T U S

1–4

Full-time

Paderborn

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,3

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

18 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 7

7 Corners 2

10 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 8. · Paderborn 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Dresden	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Karlsruhe	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	St Pauli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Nurnberg	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Heidenheim	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Erzgebirge Aue	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Paderborn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Sandhausen	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Ingolstadt	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Holstein Kiel	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dresden	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Nurnberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Heidenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Sandhausen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ingolstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Holstein Kiel	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Erzgebirge Aue	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Dresden	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Ingolstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.