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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Brest
T T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Rennes
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 11
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brest 9. · Rennes 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Angers 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Nice 2 1 1 0 +4 4
4 Lorient 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Lens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Reims 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Monaco 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Lyon 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Lille 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Strasbourg 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brest Rennes
Franck Honorat 🟨
39′
Lilian Brassier 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Benjamin Bourigeaud
Half-time 0–0
J. Faussurier 🔁
↦ J. Uronen
72′
76′
🔁 E. Camavinga
↦ F. Tait
76′
🔁 S. Guirassy
↦ J. Doku
79′
🟨 Lesley Ugochukwu
J. Le Douaron 🔁
↦ I. Cardona
83′
J. Duverne 🔁
↦ R. Pierre-Gabriel
83′
84′
S. Guirassy 0–1
B. Meling
85′
🔁 M. Tel
↦ B. Bourigeaud
85′
🔁 M. Abline
↦ K. Sulemana
88′
🟨 Hamari Traore
1–1 J. Le Douaron
F. Honorat
91′
92′
🔁 W. Omari
↦ M. Terrier
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brest

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot G
20 J. Uronen D
5 B. Chardonnet D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
3 L. Brassier D
21 R. Faivre M
27 H. Magnetti M
28 H. Mananga Mbock M
15 S. Mounié F
9 F. Honorat M
14 I. Cardona M
Bench (9)
22 J. Faussurier
26 J. Le Douaron
2 J. Duverne
1 G. Larsonneur
33 N. Sow
19 R. Said Ahamada
11 R. Philippoteaux
30 G. Coudert
17 D. Bain

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Rennes

4-3-3
16 A. Gomis G
27 H. Traoré D
25 B. Meling D
6 N. Aguerd D
5 L. Badé D
20 F. Tait M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
38 L. Ugochukwu M
18 K. Sulemana F
7 M. Terrier F
11 J. Doku F
Bench (9)
10 E. Camavinga
9 S. Guirassy
39 M. Tel
35 M. Abline
32 W. Omari
22 R. Del Castillo
36 A. Diouf
31 L. Assignon
1 R. Salin

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,06
U ✓
3,36
B
2,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.