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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Reims
U T T T U
3–3
Full-time
Montpellier
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 13. · Montpellier 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Angers 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Nice 2 1 1 0 +4 4
4 Lorient 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Lens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Reims 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Monaco 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Lyon 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Lille 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Strasbourg 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Montpellier
5′
N. Cozza 0–1
1–1 Moreto Cassamá
H. Ekitike
7′
25′
🟨 Thuler
2–1 Moreto Cassamá
26′
Mathieu Cafaro 🟨
32′
38′
A. Delort 2–2
F. Mollet
43′
G. Laborde 2–3
Half-time 2–3
46′
🔁 M. Esteve
↦ E. Wahi
Bradley Locko 🟨
49′
I. Kebbal 🔁
↦ B. Locko
54′
E. Touré 🔁
↦ M. Cafaro
55′
M. Munetsi 🔁
↦ N. Mbuku
55′
Marshall Munetsi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
57′
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ Moreto Cassamá
69′
K. Sierhuis 🔁
↦ H. Ekitike
70′
73′
🔁 A. Souquet
↦ S. Sambia
74′
🔁 L. Leroy
↦ F. Mollet
79′
🔁 B. Makouana
↦ G. Laborde
3–3 I. Kebbal
82′
90′
🔁 M. Ristić
↦ T. Savanier
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Reims

3-4-3
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
32 T. Foket M
2 W. Faes D
6 A. Gravillon D
28 B. Locko M
7 X. Chavalerin M
23 Moreto Cassamá M
24 M. Cafaro F
11 N. Mbuku F
22 H. Ekitike F
Bench (9)
20 I. Kebbal
27 E. Touré
15 M. Munetsi
14 V. Berisha
9 K. Sierhuis
26 D. Lopy
16 Y. Diouf
12 A. Flips
13 F. Doucouré

Coach: Óscar García

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
16 D. Bertaud G
3 M. Sakho D
31 N. Cozza D
26 Thuler D
12 J. Ferri M
25 F. Mollet M
11 T. Savanier M
6 S. Sambia D
9 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde M
21 E. Wahi M
Bench (9)
34 M. Esteve
2 A. Souquet
18 L. Leroy
28 B. Makouana
7 M. Ristić
19 S. Mavididi
13 J. Chotard
32 P. Škuletić
30 Matis Carvalho

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,67
U ✓
3,18
B
2,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.