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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

St Etienne

S U T U U

1–1

Full-time

Lille

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,5

3,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 10. · Lille 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Lens	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Reims	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Rennes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Metz	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Lille	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Lille	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Lens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Nice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.