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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Lille

T T S U S

4–0

Full-time

Clermont

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Clermont

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 33%

38%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

50%

46%

Both score Ø 56%

65%

46%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lille 9. · Clermont 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	27	19	5	3	+32	62
2	Nice	27	15	5	7	+17	50
3	Marseille	26	13	8	5	+15	47
4	Rennes	27	14	4	9	+28	46
5	Strasbourg	27	12	8	7	+17	44
6	Nantes	27	12	6	9	+7	42
7	Lyon	27	11	9	7	+5	42
8	Lens	27	11	7	9	+4	40
9	Lille	26	10	9	7	-2	39
10	Monaco	26	10	8	8	+10	38
11	Montpellier	27	11	4	12	+1	37
12	Brest	27	9	8	10	-3	35
13	Reims	27	7	11	9	+0	32
14	Angers	27	7	8	12	-9	29
15	Clermont	26	7	7	12	-15	28
16	Troyes	27	6	7	14	-16	25
17	St Etienne	27	6	7	14	-22	25
18	Lorient	27	5	9	13	-21	24
19	Metz	27	4	10	13	-21	22
20	Bordeaux	27	4	10	13	-27	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	12	1	0	+24	37
2	Rennes	14	10	1	3	+24	31
3	Nantes	14	9	2	3	+11	29
4	Lyon	14	7	5	2	+9	26
5	Monaco	14	7	4	3	+13	25
6	Strasbourg	13	7	3	3	+14	24
7	Nice	14	7	3	4	+4	24
8	Lens	14	6	5	3	+8	23
9	Montpellier	14	7	2	5	+6	23
10	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+7	20
11	Lille	12	5	5	2	-1	20
12	Brest	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Reims	13	4	5	4	+5	17
14	Angers	13	5	1	7	-2	16
15	Lorient	13	4	4	5	-3	16
16	Clermont	13	3	5	5	-3	14
17	St Etienne	14	3	5	6	-9	14
18	Troyes	13	2	6	5	-2	12
19	Bordeaux	14	2	5	7	-7	11
20	Metz	13	1	5	7	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	13	8	3	2	+8	27
2	Nice	13	8	2	3	+13	26
3	Paris SG	14	7	4	3	+8	25
4	Strasbourg	14	5	5	4	+3	20
5	Lille	14	5	4	5	-1	19
6	Lens	13	5	2	6	-4	17
7	Brest	14	4	5	5	-5	17
8	Lyon	13	4	4	5	-4	16
9	Rennes	13	4	3	6	+4	15
10	Reims	14	3	6	5	-5	15
11	Montpellier	13	4	2	7	-5	14
12	Metz	14	3	5	6	-11	14
13	Clermont	13	4	2	7	-12	14
14	Monaco	12	3	4	5	-3	13
15	Nantes	13	3	4	6	-4	13
16	Angers	14	2	7	5	-7	13
17	Troyes	14	4	1	9	-14	13
18	St Etienne	13	3	2	8	-13	11
19	Bordeaux	13	2	5	6	-20	11
20	Lorient	14	1	5	8	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.