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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Angers
T T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Lille
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,2
1,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 34%
27%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 14. · Lille 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 31 22 5 4 +41 71
2 Rennes 31 17 5 9 +36 56
3 Marseille 30 16 8 6 +20 56
4 Nice 30 15 7 8 +16 52
5 Strasbourg 30 14 9 7 +19 51
6 Monaco 30 13 8 9 +14 47
7 Lille 30 12 11 7 +3 47
8 Lyon 30 12 10 8 +4 46
9 Nantes 30 13 6 11 +6 45
10 Lens 30 12 8 10 +5 44
11 Montpellier 30 12 5 13 +2 41
12 Brest 30 10 8 12 -6 38
13 Reims 31 8 12 11 -1 36
14 Angers 30 8 8 14 -10 32
15 Troyes 30 8 8 14 -14 32
16 Lorient 31 7 10 14 -19 31
17 Clermont 31 7 7 17 -29 28
18 St Etienne 31 6 9 16 -28 27
19 Bordeaux 31 5 11 15 -30 26
20 Metz 31 4 11 16 -29 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Lille
A. Bamba 🔁
↦ Mathias Lage
23′
M. Cho 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
42′
Half-time 0–0
Nabil Bentaleb 🟨
46′
48′
🟨 Burak Yılmaz
Romain Thomas 🟨
53′
0–1 Tiago Djaló
own goal
64′
65′
🟨 José Fonte
66′
🔁 A. Onana
↦ B. André
66′
🔁 E. Zhegrova
↦ J. David
Souleyman Doumbia 🟨
69′
74′
E. Zhegrova 0–2
Z. Çelik
A. Fulgini 🔁
↦ P. Capelle
83′
A. Ounahi 🔁
↦ B. Mendy
83′
87′
🔁 D. Bradarić
↦ G. Gudmundsson
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Angers

3-5-1-1
16 A. Mandrea G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
3 S. Doumbia M
6 E. Ebosse D
2 B. Mendy M
15 P. Capelle M
23 N. Bentaleb M
7 S. Boufal F
27 Mathias Lage M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (9)
25 A. Bamba
21 M. Cho
10 A. Fulgini
18 A. Ounahi
5 T. Mangani
9 C. Ninga
22 M. Jakoliš
29 V. Manceau
30 D. Petković

Coach: G. Baticle

Lille

4-2-2-2
30 Léo Jardim G
6 José Fonte D
2 Z. Çelik D
5 G. Gudmundsson D
3 Tiago Djaló D
21 B. André M
10 Renato Sanches M
8 Xeka M
17 B. Yılmaz F
7 J. Bamba M
9 J. David F
Bench (8)
24 A. Onana
23 E. Zhegrova
29 D. Bradarić
26 J. Pied
20 A. Gomes
19 I. Lihadji
16 A. Jakubech
34 C. Noom

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,31
U ✓
3,17
B
2,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.