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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Angers
T T S U T
1–3
Full-time
Nantes
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 28%
42%
13%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

65% Possession 35%
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 9. · Nantes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 25 17 3 5 +42 54
2 Lille 24 16 6 2 +27 54
3 Lyon 25 15 7 3 +29 52
4 Monaco 25 15 4 6 +15 49
5 Rennes 23 10 8 5 +7 38
6 Lens 25 10 7 8 +1 37
7 Metz 24 9 8 7 +6 35
8 Montpellier 25 10 5 10 -4 35
9 Angers 24 10 4 10 -8 34
10 Marseille 22 9 6 7 +3 33
11 Bordeaux 24 9 5 10 -2 32
12 Brest 24 9 3 12 -7 30
13 Reims 25 7 8 10 -2 29
14 Nice 24 8 5 11 -5 29
15 St Etienne 24 6 8 10 -13 26
16 Strasbourg 24 7 4 13 -7 25
17 Lorient 24 6 5 13 -15 23
18 Nantes 24 3 10 11 -17 19
19 Dijon 24 2 9 13 -19 15
20 Nimes 23 4 3 16 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Nantes
4′
M. Simon 0–1
L. Blas
7′
I. Louza 0–2
33′
🟨 Alban Lafont
1–2 T. Mangani
33′
Half-time 1–2
J. Cabot 🔁
↦ P. Capelle
46′
47′
🔁 B. Mendy
↦ A. Touré
60′
🔁 K. Bamba
↦ M. Simon
Loïs Diony 🟨
61′
S. Thioub 🔁
↦ J. Cabot
68′
Lassana Coulibaly 🟨
77′
Mathias Lage 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
79′
83′
🟨 Ludovic Blas
86′
K. Bamba 1–3
L. Blas
87′
🔁 M. Coco
↦ L. Blas
87′
🔁 N. Pallois
↦ I. Louza
90′
🟨 Randal Kolo Muani
M. Cho 🔁
↦ L. Diony
90′
A. Bobichon 🔁
↦ L. Coulibaly
90′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 P. Bernardoni G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 S. Doumbia D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
13 S. Boufal M
10 A. Fulgini M
14 L. Coulibaly M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (9)
11 J. Cabot
22 S. Thioub
27 Mathias Lage
21 M. Cho
23 A. Bobichon
4 M. Pavlović
16 L. Butelle
25 A. Bamba
28 F. El Melali

Coach: S. Moulin

Nantes

4-4-2
1 A. Lafont G
24 S. Corchia D
21 J. Castelletto D
14 C. Traoré D
3 Andrei Girotto D
19 A. Touré M
5 Chirivella M
10 L. Blas M
26 I. Louza M
27 M. Simon F
23 R. Muani F
Bench (9)
29 B. Mendy
32 K. Bamba
11 M. Coco
4 N. Pallois
17 A. Limbombe
30 D. Petrić
28 R. Emond
12 D. Appiah
22 B. Ndilu

Coach: R. Domenech

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U
3,01
B ✓
3,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,36
U2,5
1,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.