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Ligue 1
Referee: A Delerue
Angers
S S U S U
1–4
Full-time
Nantes
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 10%
20%
0%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,2
1,6
Scored
1,8
0,6
Conceded
0,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

66% Possession 34%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 4. · Nantes 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 5 5 0 0 +11 15
2 Lens 6 3 3 0 +4 12
3 Nice 5 3 2 0 +10 11
4 Angers 5 3 2 0 +7 11
5 Marseille 4 3 1 0 +5 10
6 Clermont 5 2 2 1 +0 8
7 Lyon 5 2 2 1 +0 8
8 Lorient 5 2 2 1 +0 8
9 Montpellier 5 2 1 2 +2 7
10 Strasbourg 6 2 1 3 -1 7
11 Reims 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Rennes 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Monaco 6 1 2 3 -4 5
14 Lille 6 1 2 3 -5 5
15 Bordeaux 6 1 2 3 -6 5
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Nantes 5 1 1 3 -2 4
18 Brest 5 0 3 2 -4 3
19 St Etienne 6 0 3 3 -5 3
20 Metz 6 0 3 3 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Nantes
3′
Andrei Girotto 0–1
M. Simon
6′
L. Blas 0–2
1–2 I. Traoré
T. Mangani
10′
Ismaël Traoré ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
11′
23′
R. Kolo Muani 1–3
M. Simon
Angelo Fulgini 🟨
24′
25′
🟨 Moses Simon
40′
🔁 S. Corchia
↦ Fábio
Half-time 1–3
47′
🟨 Pedro Chirivella
Thomas Mangani 🟨
49′
A. Ounahi 🔁
↦ B. Mendy
59′
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ T. Mangani
59′
66′
🔁 M. Coco
↦ M. Simon
66′
🔁 S. Moutoussamy
↦ O. Bukari
S. Bahoken 🔁
↦ M. Cho
71′
Mathias Lage 🔁
↦ S. Doumbia
71′
79′
L. Blas 1–4
R. Kolo Muani
F. El Melali 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
81′
81′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ W. Cyprien
81′
🔁 Q. Merlin
↦ Chirivella
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Angers

3-4-3
1 P. Bernardoni G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 S. Doumbia M
2 B. Mendy M
5 T. Mangani M
7 S. Boufal F
11 J. Cabot M
10 A. Fulgini F
21 M. Cho F
Bench (9)
18 A. Ounahi
15 P. Capelle
19 S. Bahoken
27 Mathias Lage
28 F. El Melali
9 C. Ninga
26 W. Taibi
6 E. Ebosse
30 D. Petković

Coach: G. Baticle

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
2 Fábio D
4 N. Pallois D
14 C. Traoré D
3 Andrei Girotto D
8 W. Cyprien M
5 Chirivella M
10 L. Blas M
27 M. Simon M
23 R. Kolo Muani F
26 O. Bukari M
Bench (9)
24 S. Corchia
11 M. Coco
18 S. Moutoussamy
7 K. Coulibaly
29 Q. Merlin
12 D. Appiah
6 R. Pereira de Sa
16 R. Descamps
19 W. Geubbels

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
3,32
B ✓
3,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Delerue · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.