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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
St Etienne
S U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Reims
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
3,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 24%
19%
28%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
58%
39%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
2,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 18. · Reims 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 36 24 8 4 +45 80
2 Marseille 36 20 8 8 +23 68
3 Monaco 36 19 8 9 +23 65
4 Nice 36 19 7 10 +17 64
5 Rennes 36 19 5 12 +40 62
6 Strasbourg 36 16 12 8 +20 60
7 Lens 36 16 10 10 +12 58
8 Lyon 36 15 11 10 +13 56
9 Nantes 36 15 9 12 +8 54
10 Lille 36 13 12 11 -2 51
11 Brest 36 13 9 14 -4 48
12 Reims 36 10 13 13 -1 43
13 Montpellier 36 12 7 17 -6 43
14 Angers 36 9 11 16 -12 38
15 Troyes 36 9 10 17 -14 37
16 Clermont 36 9 9 18 -29 36
17 Lorient 36 8 10 18 -28 34
18 St Etienne 36 7 10 19 -34 31
19 Metz 36 5 13 18 -30 28
20 Bordeaux 36 5 12 19 -41 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Reims
2′
M. Munetsi 0–1
Eliaquim Mangala 🟨
8′
1–1 E. Mangala
12′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 H. Ekitike
↦ I. Kebbal
46′
🔁 M. Busi
↦ B. Locko
46′
🔁 A. Gravillon
↦ M. van Bergen
61′
K. Doumbia 1–2
H. Ekitike
F. Sacko 🔁
↦ M. Nade
64′
E. Crivelli 🔁
↦ R. Boudebouz
65′
H. Moukoudi 🔁
↦ S. Sow
65′
R. Hamouma 🔁
↦ Y. Maçon
70′
74′
🔁 A. Flips
↦ A. Gravillon
80′
🔁 D. Lopy
↦ E. Touré
A. Nordin 🔁
↦ M. Trauco
81′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Etienne

3-4-1-2
50 P. Bernardoni G
22 E. Mangala D
13 M. Trauco M
3 M. Nade D
27 Y. Maçon M
4 S. Sow D
7 R. Boudebouz F
8 M. Camara M
6 L. Gourna-Douath M
10 W. Khazri F
20 D. Bouanga F
Bench (9)
14 F. Sacko
31 E. Crivelli
2 H. Moukoudi
21 R. Hamouma
18 A. Nordin
28 Z. Youssouf
11 Gabriel Silva
17 A. Aouchiche
40 E. Green

Coach: P. Dupraz

Reims

4-5-1
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
32 T. Foket D
2 W. Faes D
28 B. Locko D
21 A. Matusiwa M
15 M. Munetsi M
20 I. Kebbal M
33 K. Doumbia M
19 M. van Bergen M
7 E. Touré F
Bench (9)
22 H. Ekitike
4 M. Busi
6 A. Gravillon
12 A. Flips
26 D. Lopy
34 M. Adeline
30 N. Penneteau
11 N. Mbuku
10 A. Zeneli

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U
3,95
B ✓
4,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.