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Bundesliga
Referee: D Siebert
Bielefeld
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 34%
15%
52%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
39%
58%
Both score Ø 52%
45%
58%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 2
9 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 17. · RB Leipzig 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 33 24 4 5 +60 76
2 Dortmund 33 21 3 9 +32 66
3 Leverkusen 33 18 7 8 +32 61
4 RB Leipzig 33 17 6 10 +35 57
5 Freiburg 33 15 10 8 +13 55
6 Union Berlin 33 15 9 9 +5 54
7 FC Koln 33 14 10 9 +4 52
8 Hoffenheim 33 13 7 13 +2 46
9 Mainz 33 13 6 14 +5 45
10 M'gladbach 33 11 9 13 -11 42
11 Bochum 33 12 6 15 -13 42
12 Ein Frankfurt 33 10 11 12 -4 41
13 Wolfsburg 33 12 5 16 -11 41
14 Augsburg 33 9 8 16 -18 35
15 Hertha 33 9 6 18 -33 33
16 Stuttgart 33 6 12 15 -19 30
17 Bielefeld 33 5 12 16 -26 27
18 Greuther Furth 33 3 9 21 -53 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld RB Leipzig
Half-time 0–0
B. İnce 🔁
↦ P. Wimmer
46′
F. Kunze 🔁
↦ S. Vasiliadis
63′
1–0 J. Serra
70′
72′
🔁 Dani Olmo
↦ E. Forsberg
73′
🔁 T. Adams
↦ K. Laimer
C. Brunner 🔁
↦ A. Pieper
80′
Joakim Nilsson 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 D. Szoboszlai
↦ K. Kampl
86′
🔁 Hugo Novoa
↦ Angeliño
88′
🟨 Tyler Adams
A. Andrade 🔁
↦ J. Nilsson
90′
A. Schöpf 🔁
↦ R. Hack
90′
93′
W. Orban 1–1
D. Szoboszlai
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-3-3
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
5 J. Laursen D
4 J. Nilsson D
2 A. Pieper D
3 Guilherme Ramos D
19 M. Prietl M
11 M. Okugawa M
21 R. Hack F
39 S. Vasiliadis M
20 P. Wimmer F
23 J. Serra F
Bench (8)
17 B. İnce
16 F. Kunze
27 C. Brunner
30 A. Andrade
8 A. Schöpf
24 G. Bello
15 N. De Medina
35 A. Schulz

Coach: M. Kostmann

RB Leipzig

3-4-2-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
23 M. Halstenberg D
4 W. Orban D
39 B. Henrichs M
3 Angeliño M
2 M. Simakan D
10 E. Forsberg F
44 K. Kampl M
27 K. Laimer M
18 C. Nkunku F
33 André Silva F
Bench (9)
25 Dani Olmo
14 T. Adams
17 D. Szoboszlai
38 Hugo Novoa
31 Josep Martínez
22 N. Mukiele
32 J. Gvardiol
9 Y. Poulsen
16 L. Klostermann

Coach: D. Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
11,03
U ✓
6,61
B
1,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,40
U2,5 ✓
2,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.