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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Bordeaux
T U T T T
0–0
Full-time
Lorient
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,8
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
3,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 18%
14%
22%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 60%
69%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 1
10 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 20. · Lorient 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 36 24 8 4 +45 80
2 Marseille 36 20 8 8 +23 68
3 Monaco 36 19 8 9 +23 65
4 Nice 36 19 7 10 +17 64
5 Rennes 36 19 5 12 +40 62
6 Strasbourg 36 16 12 8 +20 60
7 Lens 36 16 10 10 +12 58
8 Lyon 36 15 11 10 +13 56
9 Nantes 36 15 9 12 +8 54
10 Lille 36 13 12 11 -2 51
11 Brest 36 13 9 14 -4 48
12 Reims 36 10 13 13 -1 43
13 Montpellier 36 12 7 17 -6 43
14 Angers 36 9 11 16 -12 38
15 Troyes 36 9 10 17 -14 37
16 Clermont 36 9 9 18 -29 36
17 Lorient 36 8 10 18 -28 34
18 St Etienne 36 7 10 19 -34 31
19 Metz 36 5 13 18 -30 28
20 Bordeaux 36 5 12 19 -41 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Lorient
Danylo Ignatenko 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Fabien Lemoine
52′
🟨 Dango Ouattara
56′
🟨 Armand Lauriente
69′
🔁 I. Koné
↦ T. Moffi
Fransérgio 🟨
70′
R. Oudin 🔁
↦ E. Kwateng
74′
G. Mensah 🔁
↦ Ricardo Mangas
74′
74′
🔁 T. Monconduit
↦ Dango Ouattara
J. Briand 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-Jo
81′
T. Klidjé 🔁
↦ J. Dilrosun
81′
D. Bakwa 🔁
↦ Fransérgio
85′
Remi Oudin 🟨
86′
Gideon Mensah 🟥
86′
Anel Ahmedhodžić 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Enzo Le Fée
94′
🔁 L. Pétrot
↦ A. Laurienté
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Bordeaux

3-4-1-2
16 G. Poussin G
15 Marcelo D
25 E. Kwateng M
12 Ricardo Mangas M
5 A. Ahmedhodzic D
23 J. Guilavogui D
13 Fransérgio M
21 J. Dilrosun F
6 D. Ignatenko M
18 Hwang Ui-Jo F
11 S. Mara F
Bench (9)
28 R. Oudin
14 G. Mensah
7 J. Briand
33 T. Klidjé
32 D. Bakwa
27 T. Lacoux
19 Y. Adli
24 P. Baysse
30 D. Rouyard

Coach: D. Guion

Lorient

4-3-3
1 M. Dreyer G
21 J. Morel D
25 V. Le Goff D
15 J. Laporte D
17 H. Mendes D
18 F. Lemoine M
6 L. Abergel M
10 E. Le Fée M
38 Dango Ouattara F
28 A. Laurienté F
13 T. Moffi F
Bench (9)
9 I. Koné
23 T. Monconduit
19 L. Pétrot
22 S. Soumano
11 Q. Boisgard
14 J. Hergault
30 P. Nardi
8 B. Innocent
2 Igor Silva

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U ✓
3,63
B
2,80
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.