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Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Leverkusen

U T S S S

2–1

Full-time

Freiburg

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,8

Scored

2,0

2,3

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 50%

55%

45%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

67%

64%

Both score Ø 66%

67%

64%

Average goals

3,8

3,1

Scored

2,4

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 3. · Freiburg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	33	24	4	5	+60	76
2	Dortmund	33	21	3	9	+32	66
3	Leverkusen	33	18	7	8	+32	61
4	RB Leipzig	33	17	6	10	+35	57
5	Freiburg	33	15	10	8	+13	55
6	Union Berlin	33	15	9	9	+5	54
7	FC Koln	33	14	10	9	+4	52
8	Hoffenheim	33	13	7	13	+2	46
9	Mainz	33	13	6	14	+5	45
10	M'gladbach	33	11	9	13	-11	42
11	Bochum	33	12	6	15	-13	42
12	Ein Frankfurt	33	10	11	12	-4	41
13	Wolfsburg	33	12	5	16	-11	41
14	Augsburg	33	9	8	16	-18	35
15	Hertha	33	9	6	18	-33	33
16	Stuttgart	33	6	12	15	-19	30
17	Bielefeld	33	5	12	16	-26	27
18	Greuther Furth	33	3	9	21	-53	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	13	2	2	+33	41
2	Dortmund	16	12	0	4	+23	36
3	RB Leipzig	17	11	2	4	+26	35
4	Mainz	16	10	4	2	+22	34
5	Union Berlin	16	9	5	2	+7	32
6	FC Koln	17	9	4	4	+6	31
7	Leverkusen	16	9	2	5	+15	29
8	Freiburg	17	8	5	4	+7	29
9	Hoffenheim	17	8	4	5	+10	28
10	Bochum	17	8	4	5	+4	28
11	M'gladbach	16	7	4	5	+2	25
12	Wolfsburg	16	7	2	7	+4	23
13	Augsburg	16	6	4	6	-2	22
14	Hertha	17	6	3	8	-9	21
15	Ein Frankfurt	17	4	7	6	-2	19
16	Stuttgart	16	5	4	7	-5	19
17	Bielefeld	16	2	9	5	-8	15
18	Greuther Furth	17	3	5	9	-18	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	11	2	3	+27	35
2	Leverkusen	17	9	5	3	+17	32
3	Dortmund	17	9	3	5	+9	30
4	Freiburg	16	7	5	4	+6	26
5	RB Leipzig	16	6	4	6	+9	22
6	Union Berlin	17	6	4	7	-2	22
7	Ein Frankfurt	16	6	4	6	-2	22
8	FC Koln	16	5	6	5	-2	21
9	Hoffenheim	16	5	3	8	-8	18
10	Wolfsburg	17	5	3	9	-15	18
11	M'gladbach	17	4	5	8	-13	17
12	Bochum	16	4	2	10	-17	14
13	Augsburg	17	3	4	10	-16	13
14	Bielefeld	17	3	3	11	-18	12
15	Hertha	16	3	3	10	-24	12
16	Stuttgart	17	1	8	8	-14	11
17	Mainz	17	3	2	12	-17	11
18	Greuther Furth	16	0	4	12	-35	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.