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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Charleroi

S T T U T

3–2

Full-time

Mechelen

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 44%

44%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

65%

59%

Both score Ø 50%

41%

59%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 8. · Mechelen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	34	24	6	4	+41	78
2	St. Gilloise	34	24	5	5	+53	77
3	Anderlecht	34	21	9	4	+51	72
4	Gent	34	19	8	7	+29	65
5	Antwerp	34	19	6	9	+16	63
6	Genk	34	18	6	10	+29	60
7	St Truiden	36	16	6	14	+2	54
8	Charleroi	34	15	8	11	+10	53
9	Mechelen	34	15	5	14	-4	50
10	Cercle Brugge	36	13	9	14	+4	48
11	Kortrijk	36	11	10	15	-1	43
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	36	10	12	14	-13	42
13	Oostende	36	11	8	17	-26	41
14	Standard	36	10	9	17	-19	39
15	Waregem	36	9	8	19	-30	35
16	Eupen	36	8	9	19	-25	33
17	Seraing United	36	9	5	22	-37	32
18	Seraing	34	8	4	22	-38	28
19	Beerschot VA	36	5	4	27	-41	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	17	12	4	1	+20	40
2	Anderlecht	17	11	5	1	+27	38
3	Genk	17	11	3	3	+25	36
4	Gent	17	11	3	3	+23	36
5	St. Gilloise	17	11	3	3	+21	36
6	Mechelen	17	11	2	4	+13	35
7	Antwerp	17	9	4	4	+8	31
8	St Truiden	18	8	3	7	+5	27
9	Charleroi	17	7	5	5	+8	26
10	Cercle Brugge	18	7	4	7	+5	25
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	7	4	7	-2	25
12	Kortrijk	18	6	4	8	+1	22
13	Waregem	18	6	4	8	-8	22
14	Seraing United	18	5	4	9	-14	19
15	Oostende	18	5	4	9	-18	19
16	Seraing	17	5	3	9	-14	18
17	Eupen	18	4	4	10	-12	16
18	Beerschot VA	18	5	1	12	-14	16
19	Standard	18	3	5	10	-12	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	17	13	2	2	+32	41
2	Club Brugge	17	12	2	3	+21	38
3	Anderlecht	17	10	4	3	+24	34
4	Antwerp	17	10	2	5	+8	32
5	Gent	17	8	5	4	+6	29
6	Charleroi	17	8	3	6	+2	27
7	St Truiden	18	8	3	7	-3	27
8	Standard	18	7	4	7	-7	25
9	Genk	17	7	3	7	+4	24
10	Cercle Brugge	18	6	5	7	-1	23
11	Oostende	18	6	4	8	-8	22
12	Kortrijk	18	5	6	7	-2	21
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	3	8	7	-11	17
14	Eupen	18	4	5	9	-13	17
15	Mechelen	17	4	3	10	-17	15
16	Waregem	18	3	4	11	-22	13
17	Seraing United	18	4	1	13	-23	13
18	Seraing	17	3	1	13	-24	10
19	Beerschot VA	18	0	3	15	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.