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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Auxerre
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Brest
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
0,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,4
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Auxerre 16. · Brest 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 8 1 0 +23 25
2 Marseille 9 7 2 0 +14 23
3 Lorient 9 7 1 1 +6 22
4 Lens 8 5 3 0 +9 18
5 Rennes 9 4 3 2 +8 15
6 Monaco 8 4 2 2 +1 14
7 Lyon 8 4 1 3 +6 13
8 Lille 9 4 1 4 -1 13
9 Montpellier 8 4 0 4 +4 12
10 Troyes 8 3 1 4 -2 10
11 Clermont 8 3 1 4 -4 10
12 Toulouse 8 2 2 4 -4 8
13 Nice 9 2 2 5 -5 8
14 Angers 9 2 2 5 -12 8
15 Nantes 8 1 4 3 -3 7
16 Auxerre 8 2 1 5 -11 7
17 Reims 8 1 3 4 -7 6
18 Strasbourg 9 0 5 4 -5 5
19 Brest 8 1 2 5 -10 5
20 Ajaccio 8 1 1 6 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Auxerre Brest
Julian Jeanvier 🟨
4′
25′
🟨 Islam Slimani
Half-time 0–0
Julian Jeanvier 🟨
52′
Julian Jeanvier 🟥
52′
D. Bain 🔁
↦ Y. MChangama
55′
57′
🟨 Brendan Chardonnet
M'Baye Niang 🟨
59′
64′
I. Slimani 0–1
G. Perrin 🔁
↦ Nuno da Costa
65′
73′
🔁 I. Cardona
↦ J. Le Douaron
78′
🔁 R. Del Castillo
↦ Mathias Pereira Lage
82′
🟨 Romain Del Castillo
Jubal ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
84′
85′
🟨 Marco Bizot
1–1 M. Niang
86′
R. Dugimont 🔁
↦ M. Niang
87′
R. Raveloson 🔁
↦ H. Sakhi
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Auxerre

4-1-4-1
23 B. Costil G
26 P. Joly D
4 Jubal D
27 J. Jeanvier D
3 Q. Bernard D
12 B. Touré M
17 L. Sinayoko M
22 H. Sakhi M
6 Y. M'Changama M
9 Nuno da Costa M
11 M. Niang F
Bench (9)
32 D. Bain
10 G. Perrin
21 R. Dugimont
97 R. Raveloson
24 K. Boto
16 D. Léon
18 K. Ruiz-Atil
14 G. Mensah
2 B. Pereira

Coach: J. Furlan

Brest

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot G
2 J. Duverne D
5 B. Chardonnet D
23 C. Hérelle D
3 L. Brassier D
7 H. Belkebla M
20 P. Lees-Melou M
9 F. Honorat M
22 J. Le Douaron M
29 Mathias Pereira Lage M
13 I. Slimani F
Bench (9)
14 I. Cardona
10 R. Del Castillo
97 T. Arconte
4 A. Dari
11 A. Camblan
45 M. Camara
18 K. Dembélé
21 J. Uronen
1 J. Blázquez

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,69
U ✓
3,46
B
2,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.