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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Rennes
T S S S S
5–1
Full-time
Metz
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
3,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

4,28 xG 0,37
70% Possession 30%
29 Shots 9
14 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rennes Metz
1–0 A. Kalimuendo
20′
21′
Y. Maziz 1–1
G. Mikautadze
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Maxime Colin
47′
🟨 Koffi Kouao
2–1 A. Gouiri
B. Bourigeaud
51′
64′
🔁 M. Mbaye
↦ Y. Maziz
3–1 J. Doku
67′
L. Majer 🔁
↦ A. Kalimuendo
74′
B. Meling 🔁
↦ J. Belocian
74′
D. Doué 🔁
↦ E. Le Fée
74′
75′
🔁 A. Lô
↦ K. Kouao
75′
🔁 B. Tetteh
↦ L. Camara
I. Salah 🔁
↦ J. Doku
84′
85′
🔁 A. Atta
↦ D. Jean-Jacques
85′
🔁 J. N'Guessan
↦ C. Sabaly
4–1 I. Salah
87′
G. Doué 🔁
↦ L. Assignon
92′
5–1 I. Salah
94′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-3-3
30 S. Mandanda G
22 L. Assignon D
23 W. Omari D
5 A. Theate D
16 J. Belocian D
14 B. Bourigeaud M
8 B. Santamaría M
28 E. Le Fée M
10 J. Doku F
9 A. Kalimuendo F
19 A. Gouiri F
Bench (9)
21 L. Majer
25 B. Meling
33 D. Doué
34 I. Salah
31 G. Doué
1 G. Gallon
18 M. Abline
20 F. Tait
15 C. Wooh

Coach: B. Génésio

Metz

4-2-3-1
16 A. Oukidja G
2 M. Colin D
8 I. Traoré D
5 Fali Candé D
39 K. Kouao D
27 D. Jean-Jacques M
6 K. N'Doram M
14 C. Sabaly M
18 L. Camara M
10 Y. Maziz M
9 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (9)
26 M. Mbaye
15 A. Lô
17 B. Tetteh
25 A. Atta
21 J. N'Guessan
19 H. Maïga
38 S. Sané
11 S. Elisor
1 G. Dietsch

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,41
U
4,75
B
7,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.