Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Auxerre
Strasbourg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | +32 | +29.3 | 57 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | +24 | +15.9 | 53 |
| 3 |
Lyon
|
24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | +13 | +7.7 | 45 |
| 4 |
Marseille
|
24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | +18 | +10.0 | 43 |
| 5 |
Monaco
|
25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | +6 | +5.9 | 40 |
| 6 |
Lille
|
24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +6 | +9.4 | 40 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +3 | -1.2 | 40 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +9 | +8.4 | 35 |
| 9 |
Brest
|
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | -2 | +0.1 | 33 |
| 10 |
Lorient
|
24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | -4 | -1.2 | 33 |
| 11 |
Angers
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -7 | -15.8 | 32 |
| 12 |
Toulouse
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | +5 | +3.8 | 31 |
| 13 |
Le Havre
|
24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -10 | -10.1 | 26 |
| 14 |
Paris FC
|
24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -12 | -12.3 | 26 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -14 | -10.3 | 24 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -16 | -7.3 | 18 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -20 | -12.8 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -31 | -19.5 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Diomande
D
G. Mensah
D
J. Casimir
M
E. Owusu
M
K. Danois
M
F. Oppegard
M
L. Sinayoko
F
D. Namaso
F
Coach: Christophe Pelissier
M. Penders
G
L. Hogsberg
D
A. Omobamidele
D
I. Doukoure
D
B. Chilwell
D
S. El Mourabet
M
A. Ouattara
M
G. Yassine
M
J. Enciso
M
D. D. Fofana
F
Coach: Gary O'Neil
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lorient
Auxerre
Auxerre
Rennes
Metz
Auxerre
Auxerre
Paris FC
Toulouse
Auxerre
J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.