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Serie B

Referee: M Marcenaro

Modena

S S S T T

0–0

Full-time

Cesena

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Cesena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 41%

43%

39%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

46%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

46%

68%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,92 xG 0,09

54% Possession 46%

17 Shots 3

4 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 6. · Cesena 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Venezia	29	19	6	4	+35	+26.1	63
2	Monza	29	18	6	5	+21	+12.0	60
3	Frosinone	28	15	10	3	+24	+6.7	55
4	Palermo	28	15	9	4	+26	+9.0	54
5	Catanzaro	28	12	10	6	+10	+0.7	46
6	Modena	28	12	7	9	+13	+7.2	43
7	Juve Stabia	28	9	13	6	+0	+3.1	40
8	Cesena	28	11	5	12	-5	+4.7	38
9	Sudtirol	29	8	13	8	+2	-2.6	37
10	Padova	29	8	10	11	-6	-6.9	34
11	Avellino	29	8	9	12	-15	-14.7	33
12	Carrarese	28	7	11	10	-5	-8.8	32
13	Empoli	28	7	10	11	-5	+1.1	31
14	Virtus Entella	29	7	10	12	-13	-11.2	31
15	Sampdoria	28	7	9	12	-8	+1.1	30
16	Spezia	29	7	8	14	-10	+0.1	29
17	Reggiana	29	7	8	14	-13	-6.7	29
18	Bari	28	6	10	12	-15	-13.7	28
19	Mantova	28	7	6	15	-16	-0.9	27
20	Pescara	28	4	10	14	-20	-6.3	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Venezia	15	13	0	2	+24	+13.8	39
2	Palermo	15	11	3	1	+21	+6.2	36
3	Monza	14	11	2	1	+16	+9.5	35
4	Catanzaro	14	7	6	1	+9	+1.5	27
5	Frosinone	13	7	4	2	+13	+3.9	25
6	Juve Stabia	14	6	7	1	+7	+3.7	25
7	Virtus Entella	14	6	6	2	+5	-3.6	24
8	Sampdoria	14	6	4	4	+2	+3.6	22
9	Avellino	15	6	4	5	-3	-6.9	22
10	Modena	14	6	3	5	+7	-0.9	21
11	Carrarese	14	5	6	3	+6	+1.6	21
12	Sudtirol	14	5	4	5	+3	-3.0	19
13	Empoli	15	3	9	3	+4	+4.4	18
14	Cesena	14	5	3	6	-2	+4.5	18
15	Mantova	14	5	3	6	-6	+1.3	18
16	Reggiana	14	4	5	5	-3	-1.9	17
17	Bari	14	4	5	5	-3	-7.7	17
18	Padova	14	3	7	4	-1	-4.8	16
19	Spezia	15	4	4	7	-6	-0.4	16
20	Pescara	14	3	5	6	-4	-3.8	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Frosinone	15	8	6	1	+11	+2.9	30
2	Monza	15	7	4	4	+5	+2.5	25
3	Venezia	14	6	6	2	+11	+12.3	24
4	Modena	14	6	4	4	+6	+8.1	22
5	Cesena	14	6	2	6	-3	+0.2	20
6	Catanzaro	14	5	4	5	+1	-0.8	19
7	Palermo	13	4	6	3	+5	+2.8	18
8	Sudtirol	15	3	9	3	-1	+0.5	18
9	Padova	15	5	3	7	-5	-2.1	18
10	Juve Stabia	14	3	6	5	-7	-0.6	15
11	Spezia	14	3	4	7	-4	+0.5	13
12	Empoli	13	4	1	8	-9	-3.3	13
13	Reggiana	15	3	3	9	-10	-4.8	12
14	Carrarese	14	2	5	7	-11	-10.4	11
15	Avellino	14	2	5	7	-12	-7.8	11
16	Bari	14	2	5	7	-12	-6.0	11
17	Mantova	14	2	3	9	-10	-2.2	9
18	Sampdoria	14	1	5	8	-10	-2.5	8
19	Pescara	14	1	5	8	-16	-2.6	8
20	Virtus Entella	15	1	4	10	-18	-7.6	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.