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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Strasbourg
T S U T U
2–0
Full-time
Auxerre
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 17%
15%
19%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
59%
48%
Both score Ø 65%
74%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,78 xG 0,73
51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 15. · Auxerre 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 27 21 3 3 +42 +5.0 66
2 Lens 28 16 9 3 +26 +5.3 57
3 Marseille 27 17 5 5 +24 +1.8 56
4 Monaco 28 16 6 6 +20 +4.0 54
5 Lille 28 14 7 7 +15 +6.2 49
6 Rennes 27 14 5 8 +16 -0.7 47
7 Nice 27 11 10 6 +12 +2.1 43
8 Reims 27 10 13 4 +9 +8.9 43
9 Lorient 27 12 7 8 +4 -1.0 43
10 Lyon 28 11 8 9 +11 +0.7 41
11 Toulouse 28 10 5 13 -5 +1.1 35
12 Clermont 27 9 7 11 -12 -4.3 34
13 Montpellier 27 10 3 14 -4 -0.1 33
14 Nantes 28 6 12 10 -7 -1.9 30
15 Strasbourg 27 4 11 12 -14 -2.3 23
16 Brest 27 5 8 14 -16 -7.7 23
17 Auxerre 27 5 8 14 -26 +2.4 23
18 Ajaccio 28 6 3 19 -30 -0.6 21
19 Troyes 27 4 8 15 -23 -11.6 20
20 Angers 28 2 4 22 -42 -7.3 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Aug -22 Auxerre – Strasbourg 1–0

Match report

Strasbourg Auxerre
Lucas Perrin 🟨
-5′
1–0 G. Nyamsi
J. Aholou
5′
19′
🟨 Souleymane Isaak Touré
Half-time 1–0
L. Perrin 🔁
↦ C. Dagba
46′
Dimitri Liénard 🟨
56′
J. Bellegarde 🔁
↦ D. Liénard
58′
65′
🔁 Nuno da Costa
↦ G. Perrin
65′
🔁 L. Sinayoko
↦ S. Dembélé
65′
🔁 M. Niang
↦ A. Zedadka
I. Sissoko 🔁
↦ J. Aholou
72′
H. Diarra 🔁
↦ K. Gameiro
73′
E. Sobol 🔁
↦ T. Delaine
83′
2–0 H. Diallo
M. Sanson
85′
86′
🔁 G. Hein
↦ M. Abline
89′
🔁 Y. M'Changama
↦ H. Massengo
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Strasbourg

5-3-2
1 M. Sels G
2 C. Dagba D
22 G. Nyamsi D
24 A. Djiku D
29 I. Doukouré D
3 T. Delaine D
8 M. Sanson M
6 J. Aholou M
11 D. Liénard M
20 H. Diallo F
9 K. Gameiro F
Bench (9)
5 L. Perrin
17 J. Bellegarde
27 I. Sissoko
19 H. Diarra
77 E. Sobol
14 S. Prcić
40 R. Risser
34 N. Kandil
12 L. Mothiba

Coach: F. Antonetti

Auxerre

3-4-2-1
1 I. Radu G
97 R. Raveloson D
4 Jubal D
95 S. Touré D
13 A. Zedadka M
80 H. Massengo M
12 B. Touré M
14 G. Mensah M
77 S. Dembélé F
10 G. Perrin F
19 M. Abline F
Bench (9)
9 Nuno da Costa
17 L. Sinayoko
11 M. Niang
7 G. Hein
6 Y. M'Changama
16 D. Léon
24 K. Boto
27 J. Jeanvier
35 K. Danois

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,39
B
3,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.